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AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle

24 September 2025 at 19:00AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Referee: Rob Dieperink

Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar and PEC Zwolle drew 2:2. The match was played in Eredivisie 2025.

Rivalry since 2012

AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle Head to Head Results· 30

AZ Alkmaar and PEC Zwolle have met 30 times — AZ Alkmaar won 18, PEC Zwolle won 4, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. AZ Alkmaar leads the head-to-head with 18 victories from 30 meetings. A combined 92 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.07 per match (66 for the home side, 26 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 18 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 18 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–0 in 2018.

Drawn
8
·
Total goals
92 · 3.1/match
Both scored
18/30 · 60%
Over 2.5
18/30 · 60%

Recent Meetings

17/01/26Eredivisie
Match Details
03/12/25KNVB Beker
Match Details
09/02/25Eredivisie
Match Details
20/09/24Eredivisie
Match Details
20/01/24Eredivisie
Match Details
24/09/23Eredivisie
Match Details
02/07/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
10/04/22Eredivisie
Match Details
30/10/21Eredivisie
Match Details
09/01/21Eredivisie
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 60 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, AZ Alkmaar have recorded 1 win, 5 draws and 0 defeats. PEC Zwolle show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

AZ Alkmaar4wins
4draws10 meetings
PEC Zwolle2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (71%) — the odds may underestimate PEC Zwolle.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 74.1%Draw 18.6%Away 13.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.345.257.50
Max1.365.487.83
Over 2.5: 69.4%Under 2.5: 37.0%
Market favourite:AZ Alkmaar · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market70.6%17.3%12.1%
Public market69.4%18.0%12.6%
Δ1.2%0.7%0.5%

AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: AZ Alkmaar (74%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AZ AlkmaarHalf-time:21PEC Zwolle
28Shots8
9Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Jan 202625/265.75/4.33/1.53
24 Sept 202525/261.35/5.37/7.67
9 Feb 202524/251.40/4.83/7.50
20 Sept 202424/256.82/4.92/1.42
20 Jan 202423/241.33/5.55/8.05
24 Sept 202323/244.49/3.90/1.70
10 Apr 202221/224.98/3.71/1.72
30 Oct 202121/221.24/6.07/11.67
9 Jan 202120/214.38/4.16/1.73
19 Sept 202020/211.36/5.02/8.35

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: AZ Alkmaar

W 476D 211L 289
Over 2.562
Goals scored1759

Away Record: PEC Zwolle

W 145D 126L 230
Over 2.554
Goals scored626

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026