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Excelsior vs Groningen

5 December 2025 at 19:00Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
02
Referee: Martijn Vos

Match Summary

Groningen defeated Excelsior 2:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2025.

Rivalry since 2010

Excelsior vs Groningen Head to Head Results· 18

Excelsior and Groningen have met 18 times — Excelsior won 5, Groningen won 9, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Groningen leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 46 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.56 per match (17 for the home side, 29 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (39%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–4 in 2018.

Drawn
4
·
Total goals
46 · 2.6/match
Both scored
7/18 · 39%
Over 2.5
6/18 · 33%

Recent Meetings

02/05/26Eredivisie
Match Details
16/01/24KNVB Beker
Match Details
25/02/23Eredivisie
Match Details
08/01/23Eredivisie
Match Details
06/04/19Eredivisie
Match Details
02/11/18Eredivisie
Match Details
29/04/18Eredivisie
Match Details
17/12/17Eredivisie
Match Details
04/02/17Eredivisie
Match Details
13/08/16Eredivisie
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 24 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Excelsior have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Groningen show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Excelsior

DWWDLD

Groningen

WLLDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Excelsior4wins
1draws10 meetings
Groningen5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Excelsior.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.2%Draw 28.2%Away 46.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.403.502.10
Max3.443.582.16
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 51.3%
Market favourite:Groningen · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market28.1%27.0%44.8%
Public market27.9%27.1%45.1%

Excelsior vs Groningen — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Groningen
Result vs. Market: Groningen (47%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ExcelsiorHalf-time:00Groningen
16Shots20
6Shots on target8

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

2 May 202625/261.70/4.10/4.50
5 Dec 202525/263.42/3.54/2.13
25 Feb 202322/231.89/3.79/3.89
8 Jan 202322/232.67/3.60/2.54
6 Apr 201918/191.49/4.20/6.71
2 Nov 201818/192.58/3.51/2.62
17/12/1717/182.40/3.46/2.83
29/04/1817/181.89/3.94/3.58
13/08/1616/172.59/3.29/2.71
2 Apr 201716/171.53/4.14/6.16

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Excelsior

W 100D 102L 239
Over 2.561
Goals scored519

Away Record: Groningen

W 336D 255L 420
Over 2.552
Goals scored1329

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026