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Kilmarnock vs Dundee

12 May 2026 at 19:45Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
31
Away

Dundee

Referee: C. Scott

Match Events

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal3
19Total Shots7
5Blocked Shots2
12Shots insidebox6
7Shots outsidebox1
13Fouls18
6Corner Kicks2
1Offsides0
52%Ball Possession48%
4Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
442Total passes420
357Passes accurate322
81%Passes %77%
3.38expected_goals0.43
0.83goals_prevented0.83

Lineups

Kilmarnock lined up in a 4-3-2-1 formation under Kris Doolan, while Dundee deployed a 3-5-2 under Steven Pressley.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Kilmarnock is 6.86, compared to 6.78 for Dundee. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Kilmarnock's highest-rated starter is M. Stryjek (7.42), while Dundee's best-rated player is K. O'Hara (7.15).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Kilmarnock have contributed 28 goals and 19 assists this season, led by J. Hugill (8G). Dundee's starters account for 8 goals and 3 assists, spearheaded by R. Astley (3G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Kilmarnock deploy 4 defenders rated 6.72 on average, against Dundee's 3-man backline averaging 6.81. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Kilmarnock field 5 midfielders averaging 6.88, versus Dundee's 6 rated 6.68. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Kilmarnock start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.81, compared to 1 for Dundee averaging 6.70. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 74% for Kilmarnock and 76% for Dundee. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Kilmarnock's starters have collected 42 yellow cards this season, compared to 13 for Dundee. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Kilmarnock's starting XI is 25.6 (youngest: F. Curtis (19), oldest: A. Tshibola (30)), while Dundee average 25.9 (youngest: J. Cotterill (21), oldest: C. Robertson (32)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Kilmarnock's starters average 23 league appearances each, versus 19 for Dundee. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Kilmarnock4-3-2-13-5-2Dundee
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Stryjek21Schjonn.14Stanger6Deas3Thompson18Lowery36Tshibola52Curtis11Kiltie19Anderson44Hugill13O'Hara4Astley3Roberts.5Koumetio16Halliday28Jones24Cotteri.10Roberts.12Samuels11Hay25Wright

Substitutes

Coach: Kris Doolan

Substitutes

Coach: Steven Pressley

KilmarnockPosition StrengthDundee
6.86
Avg Rating
6.78
7.42Goalkeeper (1 v 1)7.15
0G 0A0G 0A
6.72Defender (4 v 3)6.81
6G 6A5G 2A
6.88Midfielder (5 v 6)6.68
14G 11A2G 1A
6.81Forward (1 v 1)6.70
8G 2A1G 0A
Kilmarnock4-3-2-1
1GoalkeeperM. Stryjek7.4
21DefenderM. Schjonning-Larsen6.72G1A
14DefenderG. Stanger6.62G
6DefenderR. Deas6.82G2A
3DefenderD. Thompson6.73A
18MidfielderT. Lowery6.71G1A
36MidfielderA. Tshibola7.0
52MidfielderF. Curtis7.35G1A
11MidfielderG. Kiltie6.94G7A
19MidfielderB. Anderson6.54G2A
44ForwardJ. Hugill6.88G2A
Dundee3-5-2
13GoalkeeperK. O'Hara7.2
4DefenderR. Astley7.03G1A
3DefenderC. Robertson6.72G1A
5DefenderB. Koumetio6.8
16MidfielderB. Halliday6.8
28MidfielderC. Jones6.71G
24MidfielderJ. Cotterill6.71G
10MidfielderF. Robertson
12MidfielderI. Samuels6.51A
11MidfielderA. Hay
25ForwardS. Wright6.71G

Match Summary

Kilmarnock defeated Dundee 3:1. The match was played in Premiership 2025. Goals were scored by T. Lowery 62′, T. Lowery 77′ (o.g.), J. Hugill 85′ (pen.), J. Hugill 90′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Kilmarnock had 52% possession while Dundee held 48%. Kilmarnock had 19 shots (8 on target) compared to 7 (2 on target) for Dundee. Expected goals: Kilmarnock 3.38 — Dundee 0.43. Kilmarnock made 4 substitutions, Dundee made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Findlay Curtis 24′).

Rivalry since 2012

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Head to Head Results· 36

Drawn
17
·
10
wins
Total goals
98 · 2.7/match
Both scored
26/36 · 72%
Over 2.5
20/36 · 56%

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Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Dundee

WLWWLD

Match Prediction

Kilmarnock

35%

Home win

 

35%

Draw

Dundee

30%

Away win

Model advice

Double chance : Kilmarnock or draw

50%Form50%
53%Attack47%
54%Defence46%
38%Head-to-head62%

Bookmaker Odds

13 bookmakers

Best price

Kilmarnock

1.95

888Sport

Draw

4.28

Pinnacle

Dundee

5.10

Unibet

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Kilmarnock3wins
5draws10 meetings
Dundee2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.6

Average goals per game

80%

Games with 3+ goals

90%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Dundee.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 52.4%Draw 27.8%Away 27.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.913.603.70
Max1.913.603.70
Over 2.5: 55.6%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Kilmarnock · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Kilmarnock
Result vs. Market: Kilmarnock (52%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

KilmarnockHalf-time:00Dundee
19Shots7
8Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

12 May 202625/261.91/3.60/3.70
11 Apr 202625/262.10/3.50/3.25
30 Dec 202525/262.70/3.05/2.57
23 Aug 202525/261.87/3.46/4.25
10 May 202524/251.83/3.50/4.43
30 Nov 202424/252.09/3.42/3.56
3 Nov 202424/252.33/3.51/2.93
5 Oct 202424/252.28/3.46/3.08
30 Dec 202323/241.81/3.58/4.51
23 Sept 202323/242.50/3.20/2.84

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Kilmarnock

W 375D 289L 493
Over 2.550
Goals scored1358

Away Record: Dundee

W 172D 156L 313
Over 2.553
Goals scored719

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 17 May 2026