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Belenenses vs Pacos Ferreira

4 November 2019 at 19:00Estádio Nacional, Jamor, Oeiras
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Belenenses

10
Referee: João Bento

Match Summary

Belenenses defeated Pacos Ferreira 1:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2019.

Rivalry since 2013

Belenenses vs Pacos Ferreira Head to Head Results· 15

Belenenses and Pacos Ferreira have met 15 times — Belenenses won 0, Pacos Ferreira won 10, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Pacos Ferreira leads the head-to-head with 10 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 32 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.13 per match (9 for the home side, 23 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (47%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (27%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Pacos Ferreira are currently unbeaten in the last 15 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2021.

Belenenses
0
wins
Drawn
5
·
Total goals
32 · 2.1/match
Both scored
7/15 · 47%
Over 2.5
4/15 · 27%

Recent Meetings

Belenenses02Pacos Ferreira
25/02/22Primeira Liga
Match Details
Pacos Ferreira22Belenenses
27/09/21Primeira Liga
Match Details
Pacos Ferreira10Belenenses
30/04/21Primeira Liga
Match Details
Belenenses02Pacos Ferreira
10/01/21Primeira Liga
Match Details
Pacos Ferreira21Belenenses
17/06/20Primeira Liga
Match Details
Pacos Ferreira11Belenenses
21/04/18Primeira Liga
Match Details
Belenenses11Pacos Ferreira
10/12/17Primeira Liga
Match Details
Belenenses12Pacos Ferreira
30/04/17Primeira Liga
Match Details
Pacos Ferreira10Belenenses
16/12/16Primeira Liga
Match Details
Belenenses02Pacos Ferreira
30/04/16Primeira Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 0 matches, Belenenses have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats. Pacos Ferreira show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Belenenses

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Pacos Ferreira dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Belenenses
1
wins
draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Pacos Ferreira.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

Belenenses02Pacos Ferreira
25 Feb 202221/223.24/2.99/2.44
Match Details
Pacos Ferreira22Belenenses
27 Sept 202121/221.71/3.50/5.31
Match Details
Pacos Ferreira10Belenenses
30 Apr 202120/212.25/3.17/3.34
Match Details
Belenenses02Pacos Ferreira
10 Jan 202120/213.07/3.03/2.52
Match Details
Pacos Ferreira21Belenenses
17 Jun 202019/202.26/3.18/3.38
Match Details
Belenenses10Pacos Ferreira
4 Nov 201919/202.53/3.16/2.93
Match Details
Belenenses11Pacos Ferreira
12 Oct 201717/182.01/3.22/4.01
Pacos Ferreira11Belenenses
21/04/1817/182.01/3.28/3.91
Pacos Ferreira10Belenenses
16/12/1616/172.47/3.10/3.05
Belenenses12Pacos Ferreira
30/04/1716/172.28/3.15/3.35

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 39.5%Draw 31.6%Away 34.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.503.102.90
Max2.593.202.99
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 62.1%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market37.3%30.3%32.3%
Public market37.5%30.2%32.3%

Belenenses vs Pacos Ferreira — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Belenenses
Result vs. Market: Belenenses (40%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BelenensesHalf-time:00Pacos Ferreira
8Shots16
2Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Belenenses

W 237D 229L 330
Over 2.541
Goals scored833

Away Record: Pacos Ferreira

W 207D 189L 286
Over 2.545
Goals scored743

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026