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Primeira LigaSeason 2023

Chaves vs Guimaraes

17 March 2024 at 15:30Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira, Chaves
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Chaves

12

Match Summary

Guimaraes defeated Chaves 2:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2023.

Rivalry since 2016

Chaves vs Guimaraes Head to Head Results· 12

Chaves and Guimaraes have met 12 times — Chaves won 3, Guimaraes won 8, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Guimaraes leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 12 meetings. A combined 42 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.50 per match (15 for the home side, 27 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (58%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2018.

3
wins
Drawn
1
·
Total goals
42 · 3.5/match
Both scored
7/12 · 58%
Over 2.5
8/12 · 67%

Recent Meetings

02/08/25Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
28/10/23Primeira Liga
Match Details
30/01/23Primeira Liga
Match Details
07/08/22Primeira Liga
Match Details
06/04/19Primeira Liga
Match Details
02/12/18Primeira Liga
Match Details
12/01/18Primeira Liga
Match Details
10/08/17Primeira Liga
Match Details
15/04/17Primeira Liga
Match Details
04/04/17Taça de Portugal
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Chaves have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Guimaraes show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Chaves

WLLWLW

Guimaraes

LLLWWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.6

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Guimaraes dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

1
wins
draws
1
10 meetings

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Mar 202423/244.32/3.57/1.85
Match Details
28 Oct 202323/241.60/4.07/5.54
Match Details
30 Jan 202322/231.97/3.36/3.97
Match Details
7 Aug 202222/232.79/3.26/2.54
Match Details
6 Apr 201918/191.63/3.66/6.06
Match Details
2 Dec 201818/193.02/3.21/2.44
Match Details
8 Oct 201717/181.64/3.66/5.82
1 Dec 201817/182.45/3.23/2.91
12 Apr 201616/171.89/3.37/4.39
15/04/1716/173.04/3.10/2.47

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 23.1%Draw 28.0%Away 54.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.003.501.83
Max4.503.601.90
Over 2.5: 49.3%Under 2.5: 54.6%
Market favourite:Guimaraes · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market21.8%27.0%51.2%
Public market21.1%27.1%51.8%

Chaves vs Guimaraes — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Guimaraes
Result vs. Market: Guimaraes (54%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ChavesHalf-time:11Guimaraes
6Shots16
2Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Chaves

W 51D 58L 95
Over 2.551
Goals scored221

Away Record: Guimaraes

W 413D 244L 369
Over 2.546
Goals scored1311

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026