Primeira Liga· Season 2025
Match Summary
Alverca and Estoril drew 1:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2025. Goals were scored by Figueiredo 12′, A. Lacximicant 47′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Alverca had 42% possession while Estoril held 58%. Alverca had 8 shots (1 on target) compared to 11 (3 on target) for Estoril. Expected goals: Alverca 1.27 — Estoril 0.90. Alverca made 5 substitutions, Estoril made 5.
Match Events
assist: N. Touaizi
assist: G. Costa
Match Statistics
Alverca had 42% possession against Estoril's 58%. Alverca registered 8 shots (1 on target) while Estoril managed 11 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 4–4. Fouls committed: 20–15.
Lineups
Alverca lined up in a 3-4-2-1 formation under Custodio, while Estoril deployed a 3-4-2-1 under Ian Cathro.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Alverca is 6.78, compared to 6.84 for Estoril. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Alverca's highest-rated starter is Matheus Mendes (7.10), while Estoril's best-rated player is J. Holsgrove (7.21).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Alverca have contributed 18 goals and 15 assists this season, led by Figueiredo (6G). Estoril's starters account for 37 goals and 30 assists, spearheaded by Y. Begraoui (20G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Alverca deploy 3 defenders rated 6.70 on average, against Estoril's 3-man backline averaging 6.82. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Alverca field 4 midfielders averaging 6.77, versus Estoril's 4 rated 6.74. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Alverca start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.75, compared to 3 for Estoril averaging 7.01. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 79% for Alverca and 80% for Estoril. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Alverca's starters have collected 38 yellow cards this season, compared to 51 for Estoril. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Alverca's starting XI is 25.3 (youngest: B. Meupiyou (19), oldest: Sandro Lima (35)), while Estoril average 27.2 (youngest: A. Tsoungui (23), oldest: J. Robles (35)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Alverca's starters average 23 league appearances each, versus 27 for Estoril. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Custodio
Substitutes
Coach: Ian Cathro
Alverca and Estoril have met 2 times — Alverca won 1, Estoril won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.00 per match (3 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2025.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
Match Prediction
Bookmaker Odds
Best price
Alverca
2.58
1xBet
Draw
3.65
Dafabet
Estoril
2.80
Unibet
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.5
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
100%
Both teams scored
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Estoril.
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Market Summary
Margin: 8.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| Max | 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 17 May 2026