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Dunfermline vs Arbroath

24 April 2021 at 15:00East End Park, Dunfermline
43
Referee: S. McLean

Match Summary

Dunfermline defeated Arbroath 4:3. The match was played in Championship 2020.

Rivalry since 2019

Dunfermline vs Arbroath Head to Head Results· 21

Dunfermline and Arbroath have met 21 times — Dunfermline won 8, Arbroath won 8, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2019. A combined 56 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (30 for the home side, 26 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (38%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (48%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Dunfermline are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2026.

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
56 · 2.7/match
Both scored
8/21 · 38%
Over 2.5
10/21 · 48%

Recent Meetings

08/05/26Premiership
Match Details
05/05/26Premiership
Match Details
01/05/26Championship
Match Details
21/02/26Championship
Match Details
06/12/25Championship
Match Details
13/09/25Championship
Match Details
30/03/24Championship
Match Details
17/02/24Championship
Match Details
23/12/23Championship
Match Details
28/11/23Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Dunfermline have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Arbroath show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Arbroath.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 May 202625/262.10/3.25/3.00
Match Details
21 Feb 202625/262.20/3.20/2.90
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6 Dec 202525/261.90/3.20/4.00
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13 Sept 202525/263.23/3.34/2.13
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30 Mar 202423/244.12/3.59/1.80
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17 Feb 202423/241.57/3.93/5.05
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23 Dec 202323/243.94/3.78/1.80
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28 Nov 202323/241.89/3.47/3.71
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30 Oct 202121/221.86/3.52/3.72
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28 Aug 202121/222.00/3.38/3.53
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Market Summary

Margin: 6.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.6%Draw 28.9%Away 26.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.903.253.80
Max2.003.603.91
Over 2.5: 42.6%Under 2.5: 63.7%
Market favourite:Dunfermline · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market48.1%27.3%24.6%
Public market49.3%26.0%24.7%
Δ1.2%1.3%

Dunfermline vs Arbroath — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Dunfermline
Result vs. Market: Dunfermline (52%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

DunfermlineHalf-time:22Arbroath
13Shots16
9Shots on target8

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Dunfermline

W 237D 168L 190
Over 2.548
Goals scored849

Away Record: Arbroath

W 76D 75L 118
Over 2.548
Goals scored285

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026