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Raith Rovers vs Kilmarnock

11 December 2021 at 15:00Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
Referee: W. Collum

Match Summary

Raith Rovers defeated Kilmarnock 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2021.

Rivalry since 2021

Raith Rovers vs Kilmarnock Head to Head Results· 4

Raith Rovers and Kilmarnock have met 4 times — Raith Rovers won 2, Kilmarnock won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. Raith Rovers leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 4 meetings. A combined 12 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (6 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (75%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (75%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–3 in 2021.

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
12 · 3.0/match
Both scored
3/4 · 75%
Over 2.5
3/4 · 75%

Recent Meetings

29/04/22Championship
Match Details
02/03/22Challenge Cup
Match Details
19/02/22Championship
Match Details
02/10/21Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 13 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Raith Rovers have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Kilmarnock show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Raith Rovers2wins
1draws4 meetings
Kilmarnock1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Raith Rovers.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 37.8%Draw 32.5%Away 38.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.603.002.40
Max2.713.202.82
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 60.2%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.0%31.4%33.6%
Public market34.4%28.1%37.5%
Δ0.6%3.3%3.9%

Raith Rovers vs Kilmarnock — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Raith Rovers
Result vs. Market: Kilmarnock (38%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Raith RoversHalf-time:00Kilmarnock
9Shots10
1Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29 Apr 202221/223.42/3.42/2.02
19 Feb 202221/221.89/3.37/3.75
11 Dec 202121/222.64/3.07/2.61
2 Oct 202121/221.74/3.38/4.56

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Raith Rovers

W 273D 207L 302
Over 2.547
Goals scored984

Away Record: Kilmarnock

W 20D 7L 9
Over 2.536
Goals scored50

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026