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Airdrie United vs Dunfermline

13 April 2024 at 15:00Excelsior Stadium, Airdrie

Match Summary

Airdrie United defeated Dunfermline 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2023.

Rivalry since 2012

Airdrie United vs Dunfermline Head to Head Results· 23

Airdrie United and Dunfermline have met 23 times — Airdrie United won 7, Dunfermline won 8, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Dunfermline leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 23 meetings. A combined 63 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.74 per match (32 for the home side, 31 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 13 matches (57%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (48%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2023.

Drawn
8
·
Total goals
63 · 2.7/match
Both scored
13/23 · 57%
Over 2.5
11/23 · 48%

Recent Meetings

14/04/26Championship
Match Details
31/01/26Championship
Match Details
21/10/25Championship
Match Details
09/08/25Championship
Match Details
26/04/25Championship
Match Details
25/01/25Championship
Match Details
16/11/24Championship
Match Details
05/10/24Championship
Match Details
05/03/24Championship
Match Details
09/12/23Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Airdrie United have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Dunfermline show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Airdrie United2wins
3draws10 meetings
Dunfermline5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Dunfermline.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.3%Draw 30.2%Away 32.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.202.90
Max2.273.403.25
Over 2.5: 48.1%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Airdrie United · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.0%28.7%29.3%
Public market42.1%26.6%31.2%
Δ0.1%2.1%1.9%

Airdrie United vs Dunfermline — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Airdrie United
Result vs. Market: Airdrie United (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Airdrie UnitedHalf-time:10Dunfermline
15Shots10
5Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Apr 202625/262.55/3.10/2.55
31 Jan 202625/261.70/3.30/4.33
21 Oct 202525/263.23/3.17/2.24
9 Aug 202525/261.87/3.30/4.03
26 Apr 202524/252.04/3.25/3.54
25 Jan 202524/254.00/3.34/1.88
16 Nov 202424/251.76/3.57/4.62
5 Oct 202424/252.50/3.29/2.66
9 Dec 202323/242.65/3.19/2.66
5 Aug 202323/241.87/3.46/3.74

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Airdrie United

W 89D 82L 153
Over 2.547
Goals scored364

Away Record: Dunfermline

W 237D 168L 190
Over 2.548
Goals scored849

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026