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Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd

11 October 2025 at 15:00Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
02

Match Summary

Ayr Utd defeated Raith Rovers 2:0. The match was played in Championship 2025.

Rivalry since 2011

Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd Head to Head Results· 35

Raith Rovers and Ayr Utd have met 35 times — Raith Rovers won 13, Ayr Utd won 13, with 9 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. A combined 87 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.49 per match (40 for the home side, 47 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 16 matches (46%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 games (49%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–4 in 2023.

Drawn
9
·
13
wins
Total goals
87 · 2.5/match
Both scored
16/35 · 46%
Over 2.5
17/35 · 49%

Recent Meetings

27/03/26Championship
Match Details
31/01/26Championship
Match Details
09/08/25Championship
Match Details
05/04/25Championship
Match Details
04/01/25Championship
Match Details
01/11/24Championship
Match Details
08/09/24Challenge Cup
Match Details
24/08/24Championship
Match Details
06/04/24Championship
Match Details
24/02/24Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 44 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Raith Rovers have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Ayr Utd show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings
4
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Raith Rovers.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Mar 202625/262.30/3.00/2.88
Match Details
31 Jan 202625/262.05/3.10/3.30
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11 Oct 202525/262.10/3.21/3.42
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9 Aug 202525/262.20/3.08/3.28
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5 Apr 202524/253.00/2.83/2.55
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4 Jan 202524/251.86/3.37/4.16
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1 Nov 202424/252.93/3.10/2.48
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24 Aug 202424/251.90/3.34/4.13
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22 Dec 202323/241.65/3.79/4.74
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30 Sept 202323/242.66/3.33/2.48
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 8.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.6%Draw 31.2%Away 29.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.053.203.40
Max2.153.223.44
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 60.6%
Market favourite:Raith Rovers · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.6%29.1%27.3%
Public market44.6%28.6%26.9%

Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ayr Utd
Result vs. Market: Raith Rovers (48%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Raith RoversHalf-time:02Ayr Utd
8Shots10
2Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Raith Rovers

W 273D 207L 302
Over 2.547
Goals scored984

Away Record: Ayr Utd

W 214D 192L 260
Over 2.548
Goals scored851

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026