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Heart Of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock

5 October 2019 at 15:00Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

Match Summary

Kilmarnock defeated Heart Of Midlothian 1:0. The match was played in Premiership 2019.

Rivalry since 2010

Heart Of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock Head to Head Results· 47

Drawn
12
·
Total goals
109 · 2.3/match
Both scored
19/47 · 40%
Over 2.5
21/47 · 45%

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Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2014

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Heart Of Midlothian4wins
3draws10 meetings
Kilmarnock3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.9

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Kilmarnock.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 40.4%Draw 30.2%Away 34.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.373.252.80
Max2.563.392.91
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 60.2%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market38.0%28.7%33.4%
Public market39.4%28.3%32.2%
Δ1.5%0.3%1.2%

Heart Of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Kilmarnock
Result vs. Market: Heart Of Midlothian (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Heart Of MidlothianHalf-time:01Kilmarnock
11Shots14
3Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Mar 202625/264.75/3.80/1.66
3 Dec 202525/261.35/4.33/8.50
18 Oct 202525/264.29/3.62/1.81
18 May 202524/252.63/3.33/2.64
25 Jan 202524/251.89/3.59/4.00
15 Dec 202424/252.77/3.37/2.53
30 Oct 202424/251.93/3.61/3.84
30 Mar 202423/242.02/3.50/3.71
2 Dec 202323/242.88/3.40/2.39
13 Aug 202323/241.82/3.54/4.27

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Heart Of Midlothian

W 452D 274L 393
Over 2.548
Goals scored1507

Away Record: Kilmarnock

W 375D 289L 493
Over 2.550
Goals scored1358

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026