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ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock

3 May 2025 at 15:00McDiarmid Park, Perth
Referee: I. Snedden

Match Summary

Kilmarnock defeated ST Johnstone 2:0. The match was played in Premiership 2024.

Rivalry since 2010

ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock Head to Head Results· 43

ST Johnstone and Kilmarnock have met 43 times — ST Johnstone won 20, Kilmarnock won 15, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. ST Johnstone leads the head-to-head with 20 victories from 43 meetings. A combined 90 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.09 per match (45 for the home side, 45 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 19 matches (44%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 20 games (47%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2021.

Drawn
8
·
Total goals
90 · 2.1/match
Both scored
19/43 · 44%
Over 2.5
20/43 · 47%

Recent Meetings

15/02/25Premiership
Match Details
23/11/24Premiership
Match Details
11/08/24Premiership
Match Details
13/04/24Premiership
Match Details
23/12/23Premiership
Match Details
01/11/23Premiership
Match Details
20/05/23Premiership
Match Details
18/03/23Premiership
Match Details
29/10/22Premiership
Match Details
05/10/22Premiership
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, ST Johnstone have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Kilmarnock show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (30%) — the odds may underestimate ST Johnstone.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

St Johnstone02Kilmarnock
3 May 202524/253.08/3.30/2.34
Match Details
Kilmarnock31St Johnstone
15 Feb 202524/251.82/3.45/4.39
Match Details
St Johnstone10Kilmarnock
23 Nov 202424/252.96/3.42/2.36
Match Details
Kilmarnock03St Johnstone
11 Aug 202424/251.78/3.59/4.61
Match Details
St Johnstone02Kilmarnock
13 Apr 202423/243.84/3.47/1.99
Match Details
Kilmarnock21St Johnstone
23 Dec 202323/241.73/3.59/5.13
Match Details
St Johnstone21Kilmarnock
1 Nov 202323/243.40/3.27/2.23
Match Details
Kilmarnock11St Johnstone
18 Mar 202322/232.17/3.20/3.59
Match Details
St Johnstone10Kilmarnock
29 Oct 202222/232.47/3.01/3.18
Match Details
Kilmarnock21St Johnstone
5 Oct 202222/232.29/3.16/3.41
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 32.5%Draw 30.3%Away 42.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.202.30
Max3.153.402.38
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Kilmarnock · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market30.2%29.8%40.0%
Public market31.4%27.7%40.9%
Δ1.1%2.1%0.9%

ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Kilmarnock
Result vs. Market: Kilmarnock (43%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ST JohnstoneHalf-time:01Kilmarnock
18Shots12
3Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: ST Johnstone

W 250D 203L 330
Over 2.542
Goals scored811

Away Record: Kilmarnock

W 375D 289L 493
Over 2.550
Goals scored1358

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026