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Alaves vs Lugo

11 March 2023 at 17:30Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
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Alaves

00
Away

Lugo

Match Summary

Alaves and Lugo drew 0:0. The match was played in Segunda División 2022.

Rivalry since 2022

Alaves vs Lugo Head to Head Results· 1

Alaves and Lugo have met 1 times — Alaves won 1, Lugo won 0, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2022. Alaves leads the head-to-head with 1 victory from 1 meeting. A combined 3 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (2 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–2 in 2022.

1
wins
Drawn
0
·
0
wins
Total goals
3 · 3.0/match
Both scored
1/1 · 100%
Over 2.5
1/1 · 100%

Recent Meetings

Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 12 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Alaves have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Lugo show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Alaves

LWWDLW

Lugo

DWLWLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

38%

Games with 3+ goals

38%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

4
wins
draws
2
8 meetings
2
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (70%) — the odds may underestimate Lugo.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

11 Mar 202322/231.41/4.35/9.64
Match Details
10 Sept 202222/233.43/3.19/2.30
Match Details
18/10/1515/162.29/3.16/3.29
19/03/1615/161.93/3.15/4.50
18/10/1414/152.26/3.14/3.32
22/03/1514/152.23/3.13/3.42
14/12/1313/142.05/3.26/3.77
18/05/1413/142.25/3.18/3.33

Market Summary

Margin: 4.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 70.9%Draw 23.0%Away 10.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.384.208.50
Max1.444.5010.78
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite:Alaves · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market69.7%21.4%8.9%
Public market66.1%22.7%11.2%
Δ3.6%1.3%2.3%

Alaves vs Lugo — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Alaves (71%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AlavesHalf-time:00Lugo
18Shots9
6Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Alaves

W 182D 129L 147
Over 2.540
Goals scored543

Away Record: Lugo

W 131D 157L 174
Over 2.539
Goals scored464

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026