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Atalanta vs Cagliari

4 October 2020 at 11:30Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
52
Referee: F. Pasqua

Match Summary

Atalanta defeated Cagliari 5:2. The match was played in Serie A 2020.

Rivalry since 2011

Atalanta vs Cagliari Head to Head Results· 27

Atalanta and Cagliari have met 27 times — Atalanta won 14, Cagliari won 10, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Atalanta leads the head-to-head with 14 victories from 27 meetings. A combined 58 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.15 per match (31 for the home side, 27 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (44%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (41%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2026.

14
wins
Drawn
3
·
10
wins
Total goals
58 · 2.1/match
Both scored
12/27 · 44%
Over 2.5
11/27 · 41%

Recent Meetings

27/04/26Serie A
Match Details
13/12/25Serie A
Match Details
15/02/25Serie A
Match Details
14/12/24Serie A
Match Details
07/04/24Serie A
Match Details
24/09/23Serie A
Match Details
06/02/22Serie A
Match Details
06/11/21Serie A
Match Details
14/02/21Serie A
Match Details
14/01/21Coppa Italia
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Atalanta have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Cagliari show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Atalanta

DLWDLD

Cagliari

WWLDWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Atalanta dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Atalanta6wins
1draws10 meetings
Cagliari3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (75%) — the odds may underestimate Cagliari.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 79.2%Draw 15.9%Away 9.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.256.0010.00
Max1.296.5012.00
Over 2.5: 73.5%Under 2.5: 31.3%
Market favourite:Atalanta · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market75.1%15.3%9.7%
Public market75.9%14.6%9.5%

Atalanta vs Cagliari — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Atalanta
Result vs. Market: Atalanta (79%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AtalantaHalf-time:41Cagliari
19Shots7
14Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Apr 202625/264.50/3.60/1.80
13 Dec 202525/261.34/5.24/9.11
15 Feb 202524/251.44/4.75/6.71
14 Dec 202424/255.67/4.32/1.55
7 Apr 202423/244.74/3.89/1.72
24 Sept 202323/241.37/4.87/7.76
6 Feb 202221/221.23/6.38/12.49
6 Nov 202121/226.20/4.55/1.51
14 Feb 202120/216.99/4.82/1.44
4 Oct 202020/211.26/6.28/10.67

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Atalanta

W 371D 277L 348
Over 2.550
Goals scored1397

Away Record: Cagliari

W 259D 273L 430
Over 2.549
Goals scored1086

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026