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Atalanta vs Spezia

12 March 2021 at 19:45Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
31
Away

Spezia

Referee: V. Marini

Match Summary

Atalanta defeated Spezia 3:1. The match was played in Serie A 2020.

Rivalry since 2020

Atalanta vs Spezia Head to Head Results· 6

Atalanta and Spezia have met 6 times — Atalanta won 4, Spezia won 0, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2020. Atalanta leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 27 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.50 per match (18 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (83%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (83%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Atalanta are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2023.

Drawn
2
·
0
wins
Total goals
27 · 4.5/match
Both scored
5/6 · 83%
Over 2.5
5/6 · 83%

Recent Meetings

03/05/23Serie A
Match Details
19/01/23Coppa Italia
Match Details
04/01/23Serie A
Match Details
08/05/22Serie A
Match Details
20/11/21Serie A
Match Details
21/11/20Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 52 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Atalanta have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Spezia show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Atalanta

DLWDLD

Spezia

DDLWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Atalanta dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Atalanta4wins
2draws6 meetings
Spezia0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4

Average goals per game

83%

Games with 3+ goals

83%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (75%) — the odds may underestimate Atalanta.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 77.5%Draw 17.3%Away 9.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.285.509.50
Max1.306.0811.00
Over 2.5: 63.7%Under 2.5: 42.2%
Market favourite:Atalanta · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market74.6%15.9%9.5%
Public market73.7%16.4%9.9%

Atalanta vs Spezia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Atalanta
Result vs. Market: Atalanta (78%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AtalantaHalf-time:00Spezia
14Shots6
9Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

3 May 202322/231.38/4.99/8.16
4 Jan 202322/234.78/3.95/1.70
8 May 202221/226.48/4.72/1.47
20 Nov 202121/221.26/6.38/10.80
12 Mar 202120/211.29/5.78/10.25
21 Nov 202020/216.54/5.10/1.43

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Atalanta

W 371D 277L 348
Over 2.550
Goals scored1397

Away Record: Spezia

W 25D 31L 58
Over 2.561
Goals scored124

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026