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Fiorentina vs Cagliari

8 December 2024 at 11:30Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
10
Referee: M. Piccinini

Match Summary

Fiorentina defeated Cagliari 1:0. The match was played in Serie A 2024.

Rivalry since 2010

Fiorentina vs Cagliari Head to Head Results· 27

Fiorentina and Cagliari have met 27 times — Fiorentina won 12, Cagliari won 7, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Fiorentina leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 27 meetings. A combined 68 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.52 per match (40 for the home side, 28 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 14 matches (52%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 games (48%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–5 in 2016.

Drawn
8
·
Total goals
68 · 2.5/match
Both scored
14/27 · 52%
Over 2.5
13/27 · 48%

Recent Meetings

24/01/26Serie A
Match Details
24/08/25Serie A
Match Details
23/04/25Serie A
Match Details
23/05/24Serie A
Match Details
02/10/23Serie A
Match Details
23/01/22Serie A
Match Details
24/10/21Serie A
Match Details
12/05/21Serie A
Match Details
10/01/21Serie A
Match Details
08/07/20Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 35 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Fiorentina have recorded 1 win, 4 draws and 1 defeat. Cagliari show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Cagliari

WWLDWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Fiorentina dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Fiorentina6wins
3draws10 meetings
Cagliari1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (63%) — the odds may underestimate Fiorentina.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 66.2%Draw 22.4%Away 16.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.504.335.80
Max1.534.546.18
Over 2.5: 59.9%Under 2.5: 45.5%
Market favourite:Fiorentina · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market63.1%21.3%15.6%
Public market63.2%21.1%15.8%

Fiorentina vs Cagliari — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Fiorentina
Result vs. Market: Fiorentina (66%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

FiorentinaHalf-time:10Cagliari
8Shots8
3Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

24 Jan 202625/261.62/3.80/5.75
24 Aug 202525/263.31/3.31/2.27
23 Apr 202524/253.11/3.16/2.48
8 Dec 202424/251.51/4.46/5.99
23 May 202423/244.27/3.80/1.81
2 Oct 202323/241.47/4.26/6.99
23 Jan 202221/225.47/4.05/1.61
24 Oct 202121/221.68/4.01/5.18
12 May 202120/212.53/3.09/3.11
10 Jan 202120/211.77/3.87/4.54

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Fiorentina

W 441D 315L 350
Over 2.551
Goals scored1613

Away Record: Cagliari

W 259D 273L 430
Over 2.549
Goals scored1086

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026