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Monza vs Cagliari

5 January 2025 at 11:30U-Power Stadium, Monza
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Monza

12
Referee: M. Di Bello

Match Summary

Cagliari defeated Monza 2:1. The match was played in Serie A 2024.

Rivalry since 2023

Monza vs Cagliari Head to Head Results· 3

Monza and Cagliari have met 3 times — Monza won 1, Cagliari won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2023. A combined 6 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (2 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–0 in 2025.

1
wins
Drawn
1
·
Total goals
6 · 2.0/match
Both scored
1/3 · 33%
Over 2.5
1/3 · 33%

Recent Meetings

30/03/25Serie A
Match Details
16/03/24Serie A
Match Details
26/11/23Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 30 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Monza have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Cagliari show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Monza

LWWDDL

Cagliari

WWLDWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Monza1wins
1draws4 meetings
Cagliari2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Monza.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.2%Draw 31.2%Away 33.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.403.103.00
Max2.493.263.08
Over 2.5: 49.3%Under 2.5: 53.5%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market38.9%29.7%31.4%
Public market39.4%29.1%31.5%

Monza vs Cagliari — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cagliari
Result vs. Market: Monza (41%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MonzaHalf-time:11Cagliari
6Shots13
2Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

30 Mar 202524/251.67/3.63/5.64
5 Jan 202524/252.43/3.20/3.03
16 Mar 202423/242.05/3.49/3.65
26 Nov 202323/242.86/3.30/2.50

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Monza

W 28D 31L 55
Over 2.545
Goals scored115

Away Record: Cagliari

W 259D 273L 430
Over 2.549
Goals scored1086

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026