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Cremonese vs Fiorentina

16 March 2026 at 19:45Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
14
Referee: Marco Di Bello

Match Summary

Fiorentina defeated Cremonese 4:1. The match was played in Serie A 2025. Goals were scored by F. Parisi 25′, R. Piccoli 32′, Dodo 49′, D. Okereke 57′, A. Gudmundsson 70′. 1 yellow card was shown. Cremonese had 48% possession while Fiorentina held 52%. Cremonese had 13 shots (3 on target) compared to 13 (6 on target) for Fiorentina. Expected goals: Cremonese 1.43 — Fiorentina 1.69. Cremonese made 5 substitutions, Fiorentina made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Cremonese and Fiorentina — 5 goals and 1 card recorded during the match.

Kick Off
32′
Half Time
W. BondoA. Grassi
46′
49′
Dodo

assist: A. Gudmundsson

Y. MalehJ. Vandeputte
62′
R. FlorianiA. Zerbin
69′
75′
R. MandragoraC. Ndour
76′
A. GudmundssonJ. Harrison
F. CeccheriniF. Terracciano
80′
81′
F. ParisiJ. Fazzini
81′
R. GosensD. Rugani
88′
L. RanieriG. Fabbian
Full Time

Match Statistics

Cremonese had 48% possession against Fiorentina's 52%. Cremonese registered 13 shots (3 on target) while Fiorentina managed 13 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 4–6. Fouls committed: 17–16.

Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
8
3
Total Shots
13
13
Blocked Shots
2
4
Shots inside the Box
10
9
Shots outside the Box
3
4
Fouls
17
16
Corner Kicks
4
6
Offsides
0
2
Ball Possession
48%
52%
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
2
Total Passes
350
398
Accurate Passes
282
335
Pass Accuracy
81%
84%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
1.69
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.05
0.05

Rivalry since 2022

Cremonese vs Fiorentina Head to Head Results· 5

Cremonese and Fiorentina have met 5 times — Cremonese won 0, Fiorentina won 4, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2022. Fiorentina leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 10 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (2 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (20%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (20%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Fiorentina are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2022.

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
10 · 2.0/match
Both scored
1/5 · 20%
Over 2.5
1/5 · 20%

Recent Meetings

04/01/26Serie A
Match Details
27/04/23Coppa Italia
Match Details
05/04/23Coppa Italia
Match Details
12/03/23Serie A
Match Details
14/08/22Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Cremonese have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Fiorentina show 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Fiorentina dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cremonese0wins
2draws8 meetings
Fiorentina6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (24%) — the odds may underestimate Fiorentina.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 25.6%Draw 27.8%Away 52.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.903.601.91
Max3.903.601.91
Over 2.5: 52.4%Under 2.5: 52.4%
Market favourite:Fiorentina · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Fiorentina
Result vs. Market: Fiorentina (52%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CremoneseHalf-time:02Fiorentina
13Shots13
3Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

16 Mar 202625/263.90/3.60/1.91
4 Jan 202625/261.79/3.56/4.88
12 Mar 202322/234.40/3.60/1.86
14 Aug 202222/231.37/4.98/8.66
18/02/9695/96
10 Jan 199595/96
19/02/9594/95
18/09/9494/95

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cremonese

W 37D 56L 83
Over 2.542
Goals scored179

Away Record: Fiorentina

W 441D 315L 350
Over 2.551
Goals scored1613

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026