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Ascoli vs Ternana

6 May 2022 at 19:30Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
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Ascoli

41
Referee: L. Maggioni

Match Summary

Ascoli defeated Ternana 4:1. The match was played in Serie B 2021.

Rivalry since 2016

Ascoli vs Ternana Head to Head Results· 13

8
wins
Drawn
1
·
4
wins
Total goals
32 · 2.5/match
Both scored
6/13 · 46%
Over 2.5
6/13 · 46%

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Highest-scoring game: 24 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Ascoli

DLWWWW

Ternana

DLWDLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Ascoli dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ascoli7wins
1draws10 meetings
Ternana2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Ascoli.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.4%Draw 26.2%Away 22.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.703.604.33
Max1.784.084.66
Over 2.5: 62.5%Under 2.5: 43.5%
Market favourite:Ascoli · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market55.4%23.8%20.8%
Public market54.2%24.6%21.3%
Δ1.2%0.8%0.5%

Ascoli vs Ternana — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ascoli
Result vs. Market: Ascoli (57%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AscoliHalf-time:20Ternana
18Shots11
6Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Apr 202423/242.54/3.19/2.87
26 Sept 202323/242.33/3.14/3.16
15 Jan 202322/232.21/3.29/3.36
14 Aug 202222/232.08/3.29/3.56
6 May 202221/221.74/3.81/4.46
14 Jan 202221/221.85/3.52/4.30
21/10/1717/182.07/3.31/3.71
17/03/1817/182.35/3.03/3.31
30/12/1616/172.38/3.14/3.16
18/05/1716/175.40/3.85/1.62

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ascoli

W 237D 212L 281
Over 2.545
Goals scored834

Away Record: Ternana

W 208D 231L 247
Over 2.544
Goals scored804

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026