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Modena vs Brescia

10 September 2022 at 13:00Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
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Modena

13
Referee: D. Minelli

Match Summary

Brescia defeated Modena 3:1. The match was played in Serie B 2022.

Rivalry since 2023

Modena vs Brescia Head to Head Results· 5

Modena and Brescia have met 5 times — Modena won 2, Brescia won 1, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2023. Modena leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 15 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (8 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Brescia are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2024.

2
wins
Drawn
2
·
1
wins
Total goals
15 · 3.0/match
Both scored
3/5 · 60%
Over 2.5
3/5 · 60%

Recent Meetings

09/05/25Serie B
Match Details
26/12/24Serie B
Match Details
13/01/24Serie B
Match Details
24/10/23Serie B
Match Details
11/02/23Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Modena have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Brescia show 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 1 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Modena4wins
4draws10 meetings
Brescia2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Brescia.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 38.1%Draw 31.5%Away 36.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.503.132.62
Max2.763.202.89
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.3%31.1%33.7%
Public market36.6%28.6%34.9%
Δ1.3%2.5%1.2%

Modena vs Brescia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Brescia
Result vs. Market: Modena (38%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ModenaHalf-time:11Brescia
12Shots12
4Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

9 May 202524/252.29/2.91/3.64
26 Dec 202424/252.69/2.99/2.78
13 Jan 202423/242.03/3.19/3.93
24 Oct 202323/242.70/3.13/2.78
11 Feb 202322/232.61/3.20/2.84
10 Sept 202222/232.63/3.18/2.71
10 Mar 201515/162.30/3.06/3.37
20/02/1615/162.31/3.01/3.41
10 Nov 201414/152.21/3.01/3.59
3 Mar 201514/152.40/3.00/3.23

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 233
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Away Record: Brescia

W 296D 270L 240
Over 2.545
Goals scored1044

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026