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Ternana vs Cittadella

25 February 2023 at 13:00Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
12
Referee: M. Marcenaro

Match Summary

Cittadella defeated Ternana 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2022.

Rivalry since 2016

Ternana vs Cittadella Head to Head Results· 9

Ternana and Cittadella have met 9 times — Ternana won 5, Cittadella won 1, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Ternana leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 26 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.89 per match (17 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Ternana are currently unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2018.

5
wins
Drawn
3
·
Total goals
26 · 2.9/match
Both scored
6/9 · 67%
Over 2.5
4/9 · 44%

Recent Meetings

20/01/24Serie B
Match Details
07/10/23Serie B
Match Details
01/10/22Serie B
Match Details
02/04/22Serie B
Match Details
20/11/21Serie B
Match Details
07/04/18Serie B
Match Details
04/11/17Serie B
Match Details
28/01/17Serie B
Match Details
03/09/16Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Ternana have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Cittadella show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Ternana

DLWDLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ternana5wins
3draws10 meetings
Cittadella2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Ternana.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.1%Draw 30.7%Away 27.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.223.50
Max2.233.303.73
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 60.6%
Market favourite:Ternana · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.7%30.2%26.1%
Public market43.6%29.0%27.4%
Δ1.2%1.3%

Ternana vs Cittadella — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cittadella
Result vs. Market: Ternana (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

TernanaHalf-time:10Cittadella
10Shots15
5Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

20 Jan 202423/242.78/3.19/2.62
7 Oct 202323/242.17/3.26/3.55
25 Feb 202322/232.21/3.26/3.62
1 Oct 202222/232.14/3.32/3.55
2 Apr 202221/222.31/3.22/3.16
20 Nov 202121/222.15/3.30/3.45
11 Apr 201717/181.63/3.73/5.64
4 Jul 201817/183.77/3.15/2.10
9 Apr 201616/172.11/3.11/3.87
28/01/1716/172.79/2.93/2.79

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ternana

W 208D 231L 247
Over 2.544
Goals scored804

Away Record: Cittadella

W 229D 227L 262
Over 2.543
Goals scored841

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026