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Palermo vs Modena

17 March 2023 at 19:30Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
52
Away

Modena

Referee: D. Minelli

Match Summary

Palermo defeated Modena 5:2. The match was played in Serie B 2022.

Rivalry since 2022

Palermo vs Modena Head to Head Results· 7

Palermo and Modena have met 7 times — Palermo won 4, Modena won 0, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2022. Palermo leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 18 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.57 per match (13 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (29%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Palermo are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2024.

4
wins
Drawn
3
·
0
wins
Total goals
18 · 2.6/match
Both scored
3/7 · 43%
Over 2.5
2/7 · 29%

Recent Meetings

24/01/26Serie B
Match Details
19/10/25Serie B
Match Details
12/01/25Serie B
Match Details
19/10/24Serie B
Match Details
20/01/24Serie B
Match Details
07/10/23Serie B
Match Details
29/10/22Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Palermo have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Modena show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Palermo

WLLWDW

Modena

LLWLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Palermo5wins
5draws10 meetings
Modena0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 42.4%Draw 31.4%Away 31.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.253.103.10
Max2.433.253.25
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite:Palermo · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market39.8%30.2%30.0%
Public market39.8%29.4%30.8%

Palermo vs Modena — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Palermo
Result vs. Market: Palermo (42%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PalermoHalf-time:12Modena
16Shots13
8Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

24 Jan 202625/262.30/3.10/3.20
19 Oct 202525/262.09/3.15/3.75
12 Jan 202524/252.03/3.04/4.13
19 Oct 202424/252.41/3.03/3.16
20 Jan 202423/242.21/3.26/3.35
7 Oct 202323/242.55/3.12/2.99
17 Mar 202322/232.36/3.18/3.19
29 Oct 202222/232.21/3.30/3.36
24/08/1313/143.49/3.16/2.18
25/01/1413/141.65/3.58/5.69

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Palermo

W 168D 134L 92
Over 2.547
Goals scored568

Away Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 233
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026