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Perugia vs Modena

10 April 2023 at 14:00Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia
01
Away

Modena

Referee: F. Cosso

Match Summary

Modena defeated Perugia 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2022.

Rivalry since 2020

Perugia vs Modena Head to Head Results· 3

Perugia and Modena have met 3 times — Perugia won 2, Modena won 0, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2020. Perugia leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 6 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (5 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Perugia are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–0 in 2021.

2
wins
Drawn
1
·
0
wins
Total goals
6 · 2.0/match
Both scored
1/3 · 33%
Over 2.5
1/3 · 33%

Recent Meetings

12/11/22Serie B
Match Details
27/02/21Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
01/11/20Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 30 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Perugia have recorded 1 win, 4 draws and 1 defeat. Modena show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Perugia

DLDDWD

Modena

LLWLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Perugia2wins
2draws6 meetings
Modena2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.5

Average goals per game

17%

Games with 3+ goals

17%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Perugia.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.1%Draw 30.9%Away 28.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.183.50
Max2.283.303.57
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite:Perugia · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.5%30.4%27.1%
Public market44.1%28.8%27.1%
Δ1.7%1.7%

Perugia vs Modena — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Modena
Result vs. Market: Perugia (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PerugiaHalf-time:00Modena
11Shots20
0Shots on target8

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

10 Apr 202322/232.21/3.24/3.54
12 Nov 202222/232.05/3.39/3.66
12 Apr 201515/161.93/3.17/4.38
19/04/1615/162.58/3.00/2.87
23/09/1414/152.54/2.93/3.06
13/02/1514/152.29/2.95/3.56

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Perugia

W 148D 130L 120
Over 2.540
Goals scored479

Away Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 233
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026