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Modena vs Parma

14 April 2023 at 19:30Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
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Modena

11
Away

Parma

Referee: M. Serra

Match Summary

Modena and Parma drew 1:1. The match was played in Serie B 2022.

Rivalry since 2016

Modena vs Parma Head to Head Results· 5

Modena and Parma have met 5 times — Modena won 2, Parma won 1, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Modena leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 12 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.40 per match (7 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Modena are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2016.

2
wins
Drawn
2
·
1
wins
Total goals
12 · 2.4/match
Both scored
3/5 · 60%
Over 2.5
3/5 · 60%

Recent Meetings

27/01/24Serie B
Match Details
25/11/23Serie B
Match Details
26/11/22Serie B
Match Details
23/12/16Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
27/08/16Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Modena have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Parma show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Modena

LLWLLD

Parma

WLLLWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Modena2wins
2draws4 meetings
Parma0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (30%) — the odds may underestimate Modena.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 32.2%Draw 32.8%Away 40.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.002.45
Max3.223.092.54
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 62.5%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market30.2%31.5%38.3%
Public market31.0%31.0%38.0%

Modena vs Parma — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Parma (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ModenaHalf-time:11Parma
12Shots11
2Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Jan 202423/243.06/3.29/2.33
25 Nov 202323/241.96/3.20/4.02
14 Apr 202322/233.11/3.04/2.50
26 Nov 202222/231.90/3.42/4.15

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 233
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Away Record: Parma

W 89D 67L 42
Over 2.543
Goals scored284

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026