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Brescia vs Palermo

16 August 2024 at 19:30Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
10
Referee: G. Aureliano

Match Summary

Brescia defeated Palermo 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2024.

Rivalry since 2010

Brescia vs Palermo Head to Head Results· 11

Brescia and Palermo have met 11 times — Brescia won 3, Palermo won 4, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Palermo leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 27 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.45 per match (13 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (36%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2024.

3
wins
Drawn
4
·
4
wins
Total goals
27 · 2.5/match
Both scored
6/11 · 55%
Over 2.5
4/11 · 36%

Recent Meetings

02/03/25Serie B
Match Details
02/03/24Serie B
Match Details
08/11/23Serie B
Match Details
19/05/23Serie B
Match Details
26/12/22Serie B
Match Details
15/02/19Serie B
Match Details
25/09/18Serie B
Match Details
27/01/18Serie B
Match Details
02/09/17Serie B
Match Details
22/01/11Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 1 matches, Brescia have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Palermo show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Brescia3wins
4draws10 meetings
Palermo3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Brescia.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 34.8%Draw 31.0%Away 40.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.803.182.38
Max3.023.302.58
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market32.0%30.4%37.5%
Public market33.4%29.2%37.4%
Δ1.3%1.2%0.1%

Brescia vs Palermo — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Brescia
Result vs. Market: Palermo (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BresciaHalf-time:00Palermo
18Shots10
6Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

2 Mar 202524/251.79/3.52/4.63
16 Aug 202424/252.87/3.23/2.49
2 Mar 202423/243.10/3.29/2.44
8 Nov 202323/241.64/3.79/5.29
19 May 202322/231.96/3.49/4.14
26 Dec 202222/232.23/3.08/3.59
15 Feb 201918/192.17/3.21/3.54
25 Sept 201818/192.84/3.01/2.71
9 Feb 201717/182.19/3.18/3.53
27/01/1817/181.58/3.76/6.15

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Brescia

W 296D 270L 240
Over 2.545
Goals scored1044

Away Record: Palermo

W 168D 134L 92
Over 2.547
Goals scored568

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026