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Mantova vs Brescia

6 October 2024 at 14:00Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
11
Referee: M. Fabbri

Match Summary

Mantova and Brescia drew 1:1. The match was played in Serie B 2024.

Rivalry since 2021

Mantova vs Brescia Head to Head Results· 4

Mantova and Brescia have met 4 times — Mantova won 2, Brescia won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. A combined 12 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (6 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (75%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2022.

2
wins
Drawn
0
·
2
wins
Total goals
12 · 3.0/match
Both scored
2/4 · 50%
Over 2.5
3/4 · 75%

Recent Meetings

05/04/25Serie B
Match Details
12/08/23Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
30/07/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
01/08/21Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 41 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Mantova have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Brescia show 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 1 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Mantova1wins
2draws4 meetings
Brescia1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Brescia.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.8%Draw 31.2%Away 33.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.353.032.80
Max2.443.303.23
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market39.1%31.4%29.5%
Public market40.1%28.5%31.4%
Δ1.0%2.9%1.9%

Mantova vs Brescia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Mantova (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MantovaHalf-time:00Brescia
21Shots10
7Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

5 Apr 202524/252.15/3.25/3.54
6 Oct 202424/252.39/3.21/3.01
4 Feb 201009/101.67/3.29/5.40
11 Feb 200909/102.71/2.84/2.63

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Mantova

W 94D 101L 91
Over 2.541
Goals scored327

Away Record: Brescia

W 296D 270L 240
Over 2.545
Goals scored1044

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026