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Carrarese vs Spezia

19 January 2025 at 16:15Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
04
Away

Spezia

Referee: S. Sozza

Match Summary

Spezia defeated Carrarese 4:0. The match was played in Serie B 2024.

Rivalry since 2024

Carrarese vs Spezia Head to Head Results· 3

Carrarese and Spezia have met 3 times — Carrarese won 2, Spezia won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2024. Carrarese leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 12 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.00 per match (7 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2024.

Drawn
0
·
1
wins
Total goals
12 · 4.0/match
Both scored
2/3 · 67%
Over 2.5
2/3 · 67%

Recent Meetings

06/04/26Serie B
Match Details
24/08/25Serie B
Match Details
22/09/24Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Carrarese have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Spezia show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Carrarese

LDLDLW

Spezia

DDLWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
4 meetings
2
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (31%) — the odds may underestimate Carrarese.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

6 Apr 202625/261.96/3.10/3.90
Match Details
24 Aug 202525/261.73/3.59/4.98
Match Details
19 Jan 202524/252.96/3.02/2.53
Match Details
22 Sept 202424/251.72/3.57/4.91
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 33.8%Draw 33.1%Away 39.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.902.952.50
Max3.073.102.60
Over 2.5: 40.0%Under 2.5: 66.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market31.0%32.3%36.7%
Public market32.3%30.2%37.5%
Δ1.3%2.1%0.8%

Carrarese vs Spezia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Spezia
Result vs. Market: Spezia (39%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarrareseHalf-time:02Spezia
16Shots20
3Shots on target8

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carrarese

W 21D 26L 29
Over 2.547
Goals scored86

Away Record: Spezia

W 173D 177L 174
Over 2.542
Goals scored628

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026