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Salernitana vs Palermo

30 March 2025 at 16:15Stadio Arechi, Salerno
12
Referee: A. Arena

Match Summary

Palermo defeated Salernitana 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2024.

Rivalry since 2017

Salernitana vs Palermo Head to Head Results· 7

Salernitana and Palermo have met 7 times — Salernitana won 4, Palermo won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Salernitana leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 15 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.14 per match (7 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (57%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Salernitana are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2021.

Drawn
1
·
2
wins
Total goals
15 · 2.1/match
Both scored
3/7 · 43%
Over 2.5
4/7 · 57%

Recent Meetings

06/10/24Serie B
Match Details
01/08/21Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
01/08/21Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
18/01/19Serie B
Match Details
25/08/18Serie B
Match Details
18/05/18Serie B
Match Details
28/12/17Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 21 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Salernitana have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Palermo show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Palermo

WLLWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Salernitana2wins
1draws6 meetings
Palermo3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 38.2%Draw 31.3%Away 36.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.553.082.70
Max2.683.302.84
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.5%30.9%33.5%
Public market36.8%28.4%34.8%
Δ1.3%2.5%1.2%

Salernitana vs Palermo — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Palermo
Result vs. Market: Salernitana (38%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SalernitanaHalf-time:02Palermo
14Shots11
2Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

30 Mar 202524/252.62/3.19/2.77
6 Oct 202424/251.90/3.49/3.98
18 Jan 201918/191.56/3.69/7.00
25 Aug 201818/193.09/2.98/2.53
28/12/1717/181.74/3.51/5.10
18/05/1817/185.05/3.81/1.65

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Salernitana

W 194D 192L 252
Over 2.544
Goals scored734

Away Record: Palermo

W 168D 134L 92
Over 2.547
Goals scored568

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026