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Mantova vs Cesena

1 May 2025 at 14:00Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
30
Away

Cesena

Referee: D. Di Marco

Match Summary

Mantova defeated Cesena 3:0. The match was played in Serie B 2024.

Rivalry since 2020

Mantova vs Cesena Head to Head Results· 9

Mantova and Cesena have met 9 times — Mantova won 2, Cesena won 6, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2020. Cesena leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.33 per match (12 for the home side, 18 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (89%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2024.

2
wins
Drawn
1
·
6
wins
Total goals
30 · 3.3/match
Both scored
6/9 · 67%
Over 2.5
8/9 · 89%

Recent Meetings

17/03/26Serie B
Match Details
13/12/25Serie B
Match Details
02/08/25Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
29/09/24Serie B
Match Details
05/05/24Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals
Match Details
13/08/21Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
08/05/21Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
03/04/21Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
13/12/20Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Mantova have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Cesena show 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Mantova

LWWLWW

Cesena

LDDLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Cesena dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Mantova2wins
0draws6 meetings
Cesena4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.7

Average goals per game

83%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Mantova.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 40.4%Draw 30.3%Away 35.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.453.292.80
Max2.503.302.90
Over 2.5: 51.3%Under 2.5: 52.6%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market38.1%29.0%32.9%
Public market38.2%28.4%33.4%

Mantova vs Cesena — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Mantova
Result vs. Market: Mantova (40%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MantovaHalf-time:10Cesena
21Shots10
8Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Mar 202625/262.35/3.40/2.82
13 Dec 202525/261.71/3.50/4.75
1 May 202524/252.48/3.29/2.85
29 Sept 202424/251.75/3.59/4.66
15/11/0909/102.43/2.81/3.01
13/04/1009/101.71/3.20/4.97

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Mantova

W 94D 101L 91
Over 2.541
Goals scored327

Away Record: Cesena

W 182D 201L 189
Over 2.543
Goals scored685

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026