Menu

Modena vs Brescia

9 May 2025 at 19:30Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
Home

Modena

22
Referee: A. Santoro

Match Summary

Modena and Brescia drew 2:2. The match was played in Serie B 2024.

Rivalry since 2022

Modena vs Brescia Head to Head Results· 5

Modena and Brescia have met 5 times — Modena won 2, Brescia won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2022. A combined 15 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (7 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2024.

2
wins
Drawn
1
·
2
wins
Total goals
15 · 3.0/match
Both scored
3/5 · 60%
Over 2.5
3/5 · 60%

Recent Meetings

26/12/24Serie B
Match Details
13/01/24Serie B
Match Details
24/10/23Serie B
Match Details
11/02/23Serie B
Match Details
10/09/22Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Modena have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Brescia show 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 1 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Modena4wins
4draws10 meetings
Brescia2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (41%) — the odds may underestimate Brescia.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 43.8%Draw 34.4%Away 27.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.252.823.50
Max2.323.003.78
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite:Modena · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.0%33.8%25.2%
Public market41.8%31.3%26.9%
Δ0.7%2.4%1.7%

Modena vs Brescia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Modena (44%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ModenaHalf-time:11Brescia
12Shots15
3Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

9 May 202524/252.29/2.91/3.64
26 Dec 202424/252.69/2.99/2.78
13 Jan 202423/242.03/3.19/3.93
24 Oct 202323/242.70/3.13/2.78
11 Feb 202322/232.61/3.20/2.84
10 Sept 202222/232.63/3.18/2.71
10 Mar 201515/162.30/3.06/3.37
20/02/1615/162.31/3.01/3.41
10 Nov 201414/152.21/3.01/3.59
3 Mar 201514/152.40/3.00/3.23

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 233
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Away Record: Brescia

W 296D 270L 240
Over 2.545
Goals scored1044

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026