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Modena vs Cesena

13 May 2025 at 19:30Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
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Modena

01
Away

Cesena

Referee: L. Marinelli

Match Summary

Cesena defeated Modena 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2024.

Rivalry since 2019

Modena vs Cesena Head to Head Results· 8

3
wins
Drawn
3
·
2
wins
Total goals
11 · 1.4/match
Both scored
2/8 · 25%
Over 2.5
2/8 · 25%

Recent Meetings

07/03/26Serie B
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28/11/25Serie B
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13/09/24Serie B
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07/02/22Serie C - Girone B
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28/09/21Serie C - Girone B
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21/03/21Serie C - Girone B
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29/11/20Serie C - Girone B
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24/11/19Serie C - Girone B
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Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Modena

LLWLLD

Cesena

LDDLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Modena1wins
5draws10 meetings
Cesena4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.5

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

20%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Cesena.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 34.1%Draw 35.0%Away 39.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.902.702.50
Max2.973.022.62
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 62.5%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market32.1%31.6%36.4%
Public market30.9%33.2%35.9%
Δ1.2%1.7%0.5%

Modena vs Cesena — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cesena
Result vs. Market: Cesena (39%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ModenaHalf-time:00Cesena
10Shots5
2Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Mar 202625/261.76/3.00/5.25
28 Nov 202525/263.30/2.82/2.40
13 May 202524/252.94/2.86/2.56
13 Sept 202424/252.20/2.98/3.70
22/09/1515/161.90/3.24/4.57
2 Jul 201615/162.57/2.93/3.09
29/12/1313/142.17/3.02/3.70
30/05/1413/141.94/2.96/4.31
10 Jun 201212/132.05/3.16/3.91
3 Feb 201312/132.64/3.06/2.82

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 233
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Away Record: Cesena

W 182D 201L 189
Over 2.543
Goals scored685

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026