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Sudtirol vs Sampdoria

31 August 2025 at 18:00Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano
31
Referee: Michael Fabbri

Match Summary

Sudtirol defeated Sampdoria 3:1. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by D. Casiraghi 8′, S. Merkaj 19′, H. El Kaouakibi 31′, M. Coda 90′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Sudtirol had 34% possession while Sampdoria held 66%. Sudtirol had 11 shots (3 on target) compared to 19 (5 on target) for Sampdoria. Sudtirol made 5 substitutions, Sampdoria made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Sudtirol and Sampdoria — 4 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
S. Merkaj

assist: S. Davi

19′
Half Time
S. MerkajA. Mallamo
46′
56′
L. CherubiniE. Pedrola
S. TronchinJ. Martini
67′
E. PecorinoR. Odogwu
67′
F. TaitM. Coulibaly
73′
73′
L. HendersonF. Conti
73′
M. CuniV. Narro
84′
F. DepaoliS. Pafundi
86′
90′
M. Coda

assist: O. Abildgaard

Full Time

Match Statistics

Sudtirol had 34% possession against Sampdoria's 66%. Sudtirol registered 11 shots (3 on target) while Sampdoria managed 19 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 2–5. Fouls committed: 17–18.

Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
3
8
Total Shots
11
19
Blocked Shots
5
6
Shots inside the Box
8
11
Shots outside the Box
3
8
Fouls
17
18
Corner Kicks
2
5
Offsides
1
0
Ball Possession
34%
66%
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
0
Total Passes
233
452
Accurate Passes
133
358
Pass Accuracy
57%
79%
Expected Goals (xG)
0
0
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2023

Sudtirol vs Sampdoria Head to Head Results· 5

Sudtirol and Sampdoria have met 5 times — Sudtirol won 3, Sampdoria won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2023. Sudtirol leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 10 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (6 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2023.

Drawn
0
·
Total goals
10 · 2.0/match
Both scored
2/5 · 40%
Over 2.5
2/5 · 40%

Recent Meetings

01/05/26Serie B
Match Details
15/02/25Serie B
Match Details
21/09/24Serie B
Match Details
13/04/24Serie B
Match Details
28/10/23Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Sudtirol have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Sampdoria show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Sudtirol

DDDLLL

Sampdoria

LWDLWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Sudtirol dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Sudtirol4wins
0draws6 meetings
Sampdoria2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate Sudtirol.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 39.4%Draw 31.9%Away 34.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.453.072.82
Max2.623.202.93
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market36.4%31.1%32.5%
Public market38.0%29.1%33.0%
Δ1.6%2.0%0.4%

Sudtirol vs Sampdoria — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Sudtirol
Result vs. Market: Sudtirol (39%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SudtirolHalf-time:30Sampdoria
11Shots18
3Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 May 202625/262.20/3.10/3.30
31 Aug 202525/262.54/3.13/2.88
15 Feb 202524/252.61/2.92/3.00
21 Sept 202424/251.98/3.13/4.12
13 Apr 202423/241.97/3.25/4.17
28 Oct 202323/242.68/3.24/2.71

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Sudtirol

W 46D 54L 52
Over 2.543
Goals scored172

Away Record: Sampdoria

W 114D 108L 86
Over 2.539
Goals scored379

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026