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Sudtirol vs Padova

25 January 2026 at 14:00Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano
30
Away

Padova

Match Summary

Sudtirol defeated Padova 3:0. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by S. Merkaj 27′, E. Pecorino 38′, D. Casiraghi 90′ (pen.). 4 yellow cards were shown. Sudtirol had 48% possession while Padova held 52%. Sudtirol had 22 shots (7 on target) compared to 13 (4 on target) for Padova. Sudtirol made 5 substitutions, Padova made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Sudtirol and Padova — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
27′
E. Pecorino

assist: H. El Kaouakibi

38′
Half Time
46′
L. VillaJ. Silva
61′
K. LasagnaA. Seghetti
61′
J. HarderC. Buonaiuto
K. ZedadkaS. Davi
65′
F. TaitM. R. Frigerio
65′
S. TronchinD. Crnigoj
76′
E. PecorinoR. Odogwu
76′
77′
A. BarrecaD. Baselli
S. MolinaF. Davi
86′
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Sudtirol had 48% possession against Padova's 52%. Sudtirol registered 22 shots (7 on target) while Padova managed 13 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 5–3. Fouls committed: 10–17.

Shots on Goal
7
4
Shots Off Goal
11
7
Total Shots
22
13
Blocked Shots
4
2
Shots inside the Box
16
10
Shots outside the Box
6
3
Fouls
10
17
Corner Kicks
5
3
Offsides
3
1
Ball Possession
48%
52%
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
4
Total Passes
388
431
Accurate Passes
265
319
Pass Accuracy
68%
74%
Expected Goals (xG)
0
0
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2016

Sudtirol vs Padova Head to Head Results· 12

Sudtirol and Padova have met 12 times — Sudtirol won 2, Padova won 4, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Padova leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 12 meetings. A combined 17 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.42 per match (6 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (8%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Padova are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2017.

Drawn
6
·
4
wins
Total goals
17 · 1.4/match
Both scored
4/12 · 33%
Over 2.5
1/12 · 8%

Recent Meetings

01/11/25Serie B
Match Details
16/04/22Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
06/04/22Coppa Italia Serie C
Match Details
09/03/22Coppa Italia Serie C
Match Details
12/12/21Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
21/02/21Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
25/10/20Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
10/11/19Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
24/02/18Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
08/10/17Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Sudtirol have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Padova show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Sudtirol

DDDLLL

Padova

WWLWWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Sudtirol1wins
1draws2 meetings
Padova0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (47%) — the odds may underestimate Sudtirol.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.8%Draw 31.3%Away 25.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.013.203.90
Max2.013.203.90
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 62.5%
Market favourite:Sudtirol · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Sudtirol
Result vs. Market: Sudtirol (50%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SudtirolHalf-time:20Padova
22Shots13
7Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

25 Jan 202625/262.01/3.20/3.90
1 Nov 202525/262.40/2.95/3.05

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Sudtirol

W 46D 54L 52
Over 2.543
Goals scored172

Away Record: Padova

W 92D 107L 123
Over 2.546
Goals scored360

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026