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Mantova vs Carrarese

1 March 2026 at 16:15Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
11
Referee: N. Turrini

Match Summary

Mantova and Carrarese drew 1:1. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by D. Bragantini 1′, L. Hasa 80′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Mantova had 42% possession while Carrarese held 58%. Mantova had 15 shots (4 on target) compared to 11 (2 on target) for Carrarese. Expected goals: Mantova 2.00 — Carrarese 0.71. Mantova made 4 substitutions, Carrarese made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (Federico Zuccon 90′).

Match Events

Key match events between Mantova and Carrarese — 2 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
45+2′
N. SchiaviM. Finotto
Half Time
60′
F. AbiusoE. Torregrossa
60′
T. RubinoF. Melegoni
D. BragantiniF. Ruocco
62′
N. RadaelliS. Cella
76′
80′
84′
L. HasaG. Parlanti
Penalty confirmed90′
VAR
Full Time

Match Statistics

Mantova had 42% possession against Carrarese's 58%. Mantova registered 15 shots (4 on target) while Carrarese managed 11 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 6–9. Fouls committed: 18–13.

Shots on Goal
4
2
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Total Shots
15
11
Blocked Shots
4
3
Shots inside the Box
11
6
Shots outside the Box
4
5
Fouls
18
13
Corner Kicks
6
9
Offsides
1
2
Ball Possession
42%
58%
Yellow Cards
3
4
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
3
Total Passes
261
364
Accurate Passes
177
258
Pass Accuracy
68%
71%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
0.71
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.79
0.79

Rivalry since 2024

Mantova vs Carrarese Head to Head Results· 3

Mantova and Carrarese have met 3 times — Mantova won 1, Carrarese won 0, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2024. Mantova leads the head-to-head with 1 victory from 3 meetings. A combined 5 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.67 per match (3 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Mantova are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2025.

1
wins
Drawn
2
·
Total goals
5 · 1.7/match
Both scored
2/3 · 67%
Over 2.5
1/3 · 33%

Recent Meetings

27/12/25Serie B
Match Details
09/05/25Serie B
Match Details
20/10/24Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 21 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Mantova have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Carrarese show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Mantova

LWWLWW

Carrarese

LDLDLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

1
wins
draws
3
4 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Mantova.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 Mar 202625/262.50/3.00/3.00
Match Details
27 Dec 202525/262.05/3.30/3.30
Match Details
9 May 202524/252.11/3.04/3.99
Match Details
20 Oct 202424/252.14/3.25/3.47
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 40.0%Draw 33.3%Away 33.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.503.003.00
Max2.503.003.00
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Mantova (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MantovaHalf-time:10Carrarese
15Shots11
4Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Mantova

W 94D 101L 91
Over 2.541
Goals scored327

Away Record: Carrarese

W 21D 26L 29
Over 2.547
Goals scored86

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026