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Mantova vs Cesena

17 March 2026 at 19:00Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
30
Away

Cesena

Referee: A. Zanotti

Match Summary

Mantova defeated Cesena 3:0. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by G. Zaro 6′ (o.g.), A. Meroni 57′, L. Mancuso 90′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Mantova had 48% possession while Cesena held 52%. Mantova had 20 shots (4 on target) compared to 13 (3 on target) for Cesena. Expected goals: Mantova 1.68 — Cesena 0.75. Mantova made 5 substitutions, Cesena made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Mantova and Cesena — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
G. Zaro

Own Goal

6′
Half Time
A. Meroni

assist: A. Castellini

57′
60′
G. VrioniA. Cerri
A. DembeleT. Maggioni
62′
63′
T. CorazzaM. Olivieri
63′
R. CiervoS. Bastoni
N. BusoM. Caprini
69′
75′
M. FrancesconiD. Bisoli
75′
M. PiacentiniP. Amoran
T. MarrasC. Falletti
82′
S. TrimboliF. Paoletti
82′
L. Mancuso

assist: C. Falletti

90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Mantova had 48% possession against Cesena's 52%. Mantova registered 20 shots (4 on target) while Cesena managed 13 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 5–3. Fouls committed: 19–16.

Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots Off Goal
10
5
Total Shots
20
13
Blocked Shots
6
5
Shots inside the Box
12
7
Shots outside the Box
8
6
Fouls
19
16
Corner Kicks
5
3
Offsides
2
1
Ball Possession
48%
52%
Yellow Cards
1
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
2
Total Passes
441
480
Accurate Passes
376
408
Pass Accuracy
85%
85%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
0.75
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-1.81
-1.81

Rivalry since 2020

Mantova vs Cesena Head to Head Results· 9

Mantova and Cesena have met 9 times — Mantova won 2, Cesena won 6, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2020. Cesena leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.33 per match (12 for the home side, 18 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (89%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2024.

2
wins
Drawn
1
·
6
wins
Total goals
30 · 3.3/match
Both scored
6/9 · 67%
Over 2.5
8/9 · 89%

Recent Meetings

13/12/25Serie B
Match Details
02/08/25Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
01/05/25Serie B
Match Details
29/09/24Serie B
Match Details
05/05/24Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals
Match Details
13/08/21Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
08/05/21Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
03/04/21Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
13/12/20Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Mantova have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Cesena show 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Mantova

LWWLWW

Cesena

LDDLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Cesena dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Mantova2wins
0draws6 meetings
Cesena4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.7

Average goals per game

83%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Mantova.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 42.6%Draw 29.4%Away 35.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.353.402.82
Max2.353.402.82
Over 2.5: 51.8%Under 2.5: 53.2%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Result vs. Market

Mantova
Result vs. Market: Mantova (43%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MantovaHalf-time:10Cesena
20Shots13
4Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Mar 202625/262.35/3.40/2.82
13 Dec 202525/261.71/3.50/4.75
1 May 202524/252.48/3.29/2.85
29 Sept 202424/251.75/3.59/4.66
15/11/0909/102.43/2.81/3.01
13/04/1009/101.71/3.20/4.97

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Mantova

W 94D 101L 91
Over 2.541
Goals scored327

Away Record: Cesena

W 182D 201L 189
Over 2.543
Goals scored685

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026