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Palermo vs Catanzaro

1 May 2026 at 14:00Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
32

Match Summary

Palermo defeated Catanzaro 3:2. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by F. Pittarello 3′, D. Johnsen 15′, F. Pittarello 32′, P. Nuamah 54′ (o.g.), J. Pohjanpalo 86′ (pen.). 2 yellow cards were shown. Palermo had 41% possession while Catanzaro held 59%. Palermo had 12 shots (6 on target) compared to 15 (8 on target) for Catanzaro. Expected goals: Palermo 2.24 — Catanzaro 1.52. Palermo made 5 substitutions, Catanzaro made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (Patryk Peda 84′).

Match Events

Key match events between Palermo and Catanzaro — 5 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
D. Johnsen

assist: F. Ranocchia

15′
Half Time
N. PierozziT. Augello
46′
P. Nuamah

Own Goal

54′
61′
P. NuamahG. Alesi
M. BaniB. Bereszynski
63′
E. GyasiA. Vasic
63′
71′
71′
R. OudinF. Rispoli
Penalty confirmed84′
VAR
86′
87′
R. FrosininiT. Cassandro
S. GiovaneC. Gomes
88′
88′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Palermo had 41% possession against Catanzaro's 59%. Palermo registered 12 shots (6 on target) while Catanzaro managed 15 (8 on target). Corner kicks: 4–3. Fouls committed: 17–10.

Shots on Goal
6
8
Shots Off Goal
3
6
Total Shots
12
15
Blocked Shots
3
1
Shots inside the Box
9
10
Shots outside the Box
3
5
Fouls
17
10
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
3
2
Ball Possession
41%
59%
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6
3
Total Passes
316
461
Accurate Passes
241
397
Pass Accuracy
76%
86%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
1.52
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.33
-0.33

Rivalry since 2020

Palermo vs Catanzaro Head to Head Results· 12

Palermo and Catanzaro have met 12 times — Palermo won 2, Catanzaro won 6, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2020. Catanzaro leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 12 meetings. A combined 24 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (10 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (42%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–3 in 2025.

2
wins
Drawn
4
·
Total goals
24 · 2.0/match
Both scored
6/12 · 50%
Over 2.5
5/12 · 42%

Recent Meetings

20/05/26Serie B
Match Details
17/05/26Serie B
Match Details
25/10/25Serie B
Match Details
27/04/25Serie B
Match Details
15/12/24Serie B
Match Details
26/01/24Serie B
Match Details
01/12/23Serie B
Match Details
24/01/22Serie C - Girone C
Match Details
03/11/21Coppa Italia Serie C
Match Details
19/09/21Serie C - Girone C
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 13 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Palermo have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Catanzaro show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Palermo

WLLWDW

Catanzaro

WLLWWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Palermo2wins
1draws6 meetings
Catanzaro3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

67%

Games with 3+ goals

83%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Catanzaro.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 60.2%Draw 25.0%Away 22.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.664.004.50
Max1.664.004.50
Over 2.5: 58.8%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:Palermo · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Palermo
Result vs. Market: Palermo (60%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PalermoHalf-time:12Catanzaro
12Shots15
6Shots on target8

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 May 202625/261.66/4.00/4.50
25 Oct 202525/263.33/3.21/2.23
27 Apr 202524/252.69/3.27/2.64
15 Dec 202424/251.85/3.56/4.11
26 Jan 202423/242.67/3.18/2.70
1 Dec 202323/241.91/3.51/4.06

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Palermo

W 168D 134L 92
Over 2.547
Goals scored568

Away Record: Catanzaro

W 55D 61L 82
Over 2.550
Goals scored238

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026