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Malaga vs Real Madrid

21 February 2016 at 15:00La Rosaleda, Malaga
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Malaga

11
Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva

Match Summary

Malaga and Real Madrid drew 1:1. The match was played in La Liga 2015.

Rivalry since 2010

Malaga vs Real Madrid Head to Head Results· 15

Malaga and Real Madrid have met 15 times — Malaga won 1, Real Madrid won 12, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Real Madrid leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 54 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.60 per match (13 for the home side, 41 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Real Madrid are currently unbeaten in the last 10 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–2 in 2013.

1
wins
Drawn
2
·
Total goals
54 · 3.6/match
Both scored
9/15 · 60%
Over 2.5
10/15 · 67%

Recent Meetings

15/04/18La Liga
Match Details
25/11/17La Liga
Match Details
21/05/17La Liga
Match Details
21/01/17La Liga
Match Details
26/09/15La Liga
Match Details
18/04/15La Liga
Match Details
29/11/14La Liga
Match Details
15/03/14La Liga
Match Details
19/10/13La Liga
Match Details
08/05/13La Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 62 v 2013

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Malaga have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Real Madrid show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Malaga

DWWWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Real Madrid dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Malaga0wins
2draws10 meetings
Real Madrid8wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (20%) — the odds may underestimate Real Madrid.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 20.6%Draw 26.2%Away 57.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.753.501.73
Max5.004.151.75
Market favourite:Real Madrid · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market20.4%23.6%56.0%
Public market20.0%25.0%55.0%
Δ0.4%1.4%1.0%

Malaga vs Real Madrid — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Real Madrid (57%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MalagaHalf-time:01Real Madrid
11Shots14
5Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

25/11/1717/181.09/12.46/24.01
15/04/1817/1810.09/5.64/1.30
21/01/1716/171.14/9.83/18.08
21/05/1716/1711.23/7.33/1.22
26/09/1515/161.13/8.85/21.67
21/02/1615/164.85/3.82/1.74
29/11/1414/159.75/5.64/1.32
18/04/1514/151.16/8.17/16.92
19/10/1313/141.20/7.24/13.28
15/03/1413/1412.21/5.77/1.27

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Malaga

W 209D 164L 273
Over 2.549
Goals scored779

Away Record: Real Madrid

W 805D 238L 217
Over 2.561
Goals scored2729

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026