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Malaga vs Sevilla

1 May 2017 at 20:00La Rosaleda, Malaga
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Malaga

42
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

Match Summary

Malaga defeated Sevilla 4:2. The match was played in La Liga 2016.

Rivalry since 2010

Malaga vs Sevilla Head to Head Results· 15

Malaga and Sevilla have met 15 times — Malaga won 3, Sevilla won 8, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Sevilla leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 38 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.53 per match (15 for the home side, 23 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (53%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (53%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Sevilla are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2016.

3
wins
Drawn
4
·
8
wins
Total goals
38 · 2.5/match
Both scored
8/15 · 53%
Over 2.5
8/15 · 53%

Recent Meetings

28/02/18La Liga
Match Details
30/09/17La Liga
Match Details
17/12/16La Liga
Match Details
16/01/16La Liga
Match Details
21/08/15La Liga
Match Details
23/05/15La Liga
Match Details
18/01/15La Liga
Match Details
01/02/14La Liga
Match Details
01/09/13La Liga
Match Details
12/05/13La Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 41 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Malaga have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Sevilla show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Malaga

DWWWLL

Sevilla

LLLLWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Sevilla dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Malaga2wins
2draws10 meetings
Sevilla6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (25%) — the odds may underestimate Malaga.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 25.6%Draw 27.3%Away 51.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.803.601.91
Max4.003.801.96
Market favourite:Sevilla · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market24.9%25.6%49.5%
Public market23.8%26.4%49.8%
Δ1.1%0.9%0.3%

Malaga vs Sevilla — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Malaga
Result vs. Market: Sevilla (52%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MalagaHalf-time:11Sevilla
11Shots9
5Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

30/09/1717/181.35/5.40/8.76
28/02/1817/183.44/3.30/2.19
17/12/1616/171.53/4.33/6.47
5 Jan 201716/173.90/3.67/1.93
21/08/1515/163.33/3.46/2.20
16/01/1615/161.65/3.95/5.42
18/01/1514/151.75/3.65/5.16
23/05/1514/153.19/3.74/2.17
9 Jan 201313/141.61/3.98/5.76
2 Jan 201413/142.96/3.29/2.45

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Malaga

W 209D 164L 273
Over 2.549
Goals scored779

Away Record: Sevilla

W 479D 281L 386
Over 2.549
Goals scored1629

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026