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Malaga vs Celta Vigo

29 October 2017 at 19:45La Rosaleda, Malaga
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Malaga

21
Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre

Match Summary

Malaga defeated Celta Vigo 2:1. The match was played in La Liga 2017.

Rivalry since 2012

Malaga vs Celta Vigo Head to Head Results· 11

Malaga and Celta Vigo have met 11 times — Malaga won 5, Celta Vigo won 4, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Malaga leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 22 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (11 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (18%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (27%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–5 in 2013.

5
wins
Drawn
2
·
Total goals
22 · 2.0/match
Both scored
2/11 · 18%
Over 2.5
3/11 · 27%

Recent Meetings

18/03/18La Liga
Match Details
07/05/17La Liga
Match Details
08/01/17La Liga
Match Details
08/05/16La Liga
Match Details
02/01/16La Liga
Match Details
29/04/15La Liga
Match Details
13/12/14La Liga
Match Details
21/03/14La Liga
Match Details
26/10/13La Liga
Match Details
19/01/13La Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 05 v 2013

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Malaga have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Celta Vigo show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Malaga

DWWWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Malaga5wins
1draws10 meetings
Celta Vigo4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

20%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Malaga.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 33.1%Draw 28.8%Away 42.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.883.392.29
Max3.103.622.40
Market favourite:Celta Vigo · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market32.0%27.1%40.9%
Public market30.6%28.0%41.4%
Δ1.4%0.9%0.5%

Malaga vs Celta Vigo — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Malaga
Result vs. Market: Celta Vigo (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MalagaHalf-time:10Celta Vigo
15Shots10
4Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29/10/1717/183.02/3.47/2.36
18/03/1817/181.49/4.33/6.95
1 Aug 201716/171.86/3.71/4.36
5 Jul 201716/171.41/4.62/7.92
1 Feb 201615/162.40/3.23/3.14
5 Aug 201615/161.49/4.38/6.86
13/12/1414/152.18/3.32/3.47
29/04/1514/151.73/3.82/4.97
26/10/1313/141.73/3.62/5.13
21/03/1413/141.98/3.38/4.04

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Malaga

W 209D 164L 273
Over 2.549
Goals scored779

Away Record: Celta Vigo

W 356D 280L 396
Over 2.548
Goals scored1321

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026