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Alaves vs Villarreal

8 March 2025 at 15:15Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
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Alaves

10
Referee: Miguel Ortiz

Match Summary

Alaves defeated Villarreal 1:0. The match was played in La Liga 2024.

Rivalry since 2016

Alaves vs Villarreal Head to Head Results· 17

Alaves and Villarreal have met 17 times — Alaves won 7, Villarreal won 7, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. A combined 55 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.24 per match (23 for the home side, 32 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 14 matches (82%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 games (76%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Villarreal are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2021.

7
wins
Drawn
3
·
Total goals
55 · 3.2/match
Both scored
14/17 · 82%
Over 2.5
13/17 · 76%

Recent Meetings

13/03/26La Liga
Match Details
10/01/26La Liga
Match Details
09/11/24La Liga
Match Details
10/02/24La Liga
Match Details
22/10/23La Liga
Match Details
30/04/22La Liga
Match Details
21/12/21La Liga
Match Details
21/04/21La Liga
Match Details
30/09/20La Liga
Match Details
25/01/20La Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 52 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Alaves have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Villarreal show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Alaves

LWWDLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

3
wins
draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (31%) — the odds may underestimate Alaves.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

13 Mar 202625/263.25/3.40/2.20
Match Details
10 Jan 202625/261.46/4.44/7.02
Match Details
8 Mar 202524/253.08/3.29/2.39
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9 Nov 202424/251.63/4.05/5.45
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10 Feb 202423/242.18/3.44/3.30
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22 Oct 202323/241.70/3.84/4.98
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30 Apr 202221/223.45/3.42/2.15
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21 Dec 202121/221.36/5.03/8.93
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21 Apr 202120/214.39/3.55/1.88
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30 Sept 202020/211.59/3.94/5.94
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 32.5%Draw 30.4%Away 41.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.252.38
Max3.143.382.40
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market30.8%28.6%40.5%
Public market30.7%29.3%40.0%

Alaves vs Villarreal — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Alaves
Result vs. Market: Villarreal (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AlavesHalf-time:10Villarreal
5Shots24
3Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Alaves

W 177D 135L 256
Over 2.545
Goals scored586

Away Record: Villarreal

W 409D 245L 294
Over 2.551
Goals scored1399

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026