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Valencia vs Villarreal

25 October 2025 at 20:00Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia

Match Summary

Villarreal defeated Valencia 2:0. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by G. Moreno 45′ (pen.), S. Comesana 57′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Valencia had 57% possession while Villarreal held 43%. Valencia had 15 shots (3 on target) compared to 12 (5 on target) for Villarreal. Expected goals: Valencia 0.80 — Villarreal 2.18. Valencia made 5 substitutions, Villarreal made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (Gerard Moreno 43′).

Match Events

Key match events between Valencia and Villarreal — 2 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
VAR
43′Penalty confirmed
45′
G. Moreno

Penalty

Half Time
L. BeltranH. Duro
46′
J. GayaJ. Vazquez
61′
J. GuerraA. Almeida
61′
68′
P. GueyeT. Partey
68′
G. MorenoA. Perez
79′
S. ComesanaD. Parejo
79′
G. MikautadzeI. Akhomach
PepeluB. Santamaria
83′
T. CorreiaD. Raba
83′
88′
A. MoleiroT. Buchanan
Full Time

Match Statistics

Valencia had 57% possession against Villarreal's 43%. Valencia registered 15 shots (3 on target) while Villarreal managed 12 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 7–5. Fouls committed: 13–14.

Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
6
4
Total Shots
15
12
Blocked Shots
6
3
Shots inside the Box
7
11
Shots outside the Box
8
1
Fouls
13
14
Corner Kicks
7
5
Offsides
2
3
Ball Possession
57%
43%
Yellow Cards
2
4
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
3
Total Passes
540
416
Accurate Passes
461
359
Pass Accuracy
85%
86%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
2.18
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.49
0.49

Rivalry since 2010

Valencia vs Villarreal Head to Head Results· 33

Valencia and Villarreal have met 33 times — Valencia won 14, Villarreal won 12, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Valencia leads the head-to-head with 14 victories from 33 meetings. A combined 84 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.55 per match (46 for the home side, 38 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 18 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 games (48%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Villarreal are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2021.

14
wins
Drawn
7
·
Total goals
84 · 2.5/match
Both scored
18/33 · 55%
Over 2.5
16/33 · 48%

Recent Meetings

22/02/26La Liga
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15/02/25La Liga
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31/08/24La Liga
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17/03/24La Liga
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02/01/24La Liga
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03/05/23La Liga
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31/12/22La Liga
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19/04/22La Liga
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30/10/21La Liga
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16/07/21Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Valencia have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Villarreal show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Valencia

WWDWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (29%) — the odds may underestimate Valencia.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

22 Feb 202625/261.70/4.00/4.50
Match Details
25 Oct 202525/263.20/3.61/2.20
Match Details
15 Feb 202524/251.52/4.44/5.87
Match Details
31 Aug 202424/252.83/3.44/2.49
Match Details
17 Mar 202423/242.09/3.46/3.54
Match Details
2 Jan 202423/242.03/3.50/3.63
Match Details
3 May 202322/232.74/3.39/2.56
Match Details
31 Dec 202222/231.96/3.40/4.23
Match Details
19 Apr 202221/221.45/4.66/7.04
Match Details
30 Oct 202121/222.93/3.44/2.42
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 31.3%Draw 27.7%Away 45.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.103.602.20
Max3.293.622.20
Over 2.5: 55.6%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Villarreal · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market29.4%26.7%43.9%
Public market30.6%26.3%43.1%
Δ1.2%0.4%0.8%

Valencia vs Villarreal — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Villarreal
Result vs. Market: Villarreal (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ValenciaHalf-time:01Villarreal
15Shots12
3Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Valencia

W 541D 328L 391
Over 2.550
Goals scored1843

Away Record: Villarreal

W 409D 245L 294
Over 2.551
Goals scored1399

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026