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Osasuna vs Celta Vigo

26 October 2025 at 17:30Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona

Match Summary

Celta Vigo defeated Osasuna 3:2. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by F. Jutgla 26′, A. Budimir 37′ (pen.), A. Budimir 45′, F. Jutgla 69′, P. Duran 87′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Osasuna had 61% possession while Celta Vigo held 39%. Osasuna had 17 shots (7 on target) compared to 11 (5 on target) for Celta Vigo. Expected goals: Osasuna 2.31 — Celta Vigo 1.96. Osasuna made 5 substitutions, Celta Vigo made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Osasuna and Celta Vigo — 5 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
26′
F. Jutgla

assist: B. Iglesias

A. Budimir

Penalty

37′
A. Budimir

assist: R. Garcia

45′
Half Time
61′
M. FernandezO. Mingueza
61′
D. RodriguezH. Sotelo
61′
M. RisticJ. El Abdellaoui
R. GarciaR. Garcia
72′
75′
B. ZaragozaP. Duran
81′
B. IglesiasI. Aspas
A. OsambelaJ. Cruz
82′
V. MunozK. Barja
82′
87′
P. Duran

assist: I. Aspas

L. TorroI. Benito
89′
A. BretonesS. Becker
89′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Osasuna had 61% possession against Celta Vigo's 39%. Osasuna registered 17 shots (7 on target) while Celta Vigo managed 11 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 5–2. Fouls committed: 10–13.

Shots on Goal
7
5
Shots Off Goal
7
4
Total Shots
17
11
Blocked Shots
3
2
Shots inside the Box
10
5
Shots outside the Box
7
6
Fouls
10
13
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
0
5
Ball Possession
61%
39%
Yellow Cards
3
4
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
5
Total Passes
555
357
Accurate Passes
469
291
Pass Accuracy
85%
82%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
1.96
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.42
0.42

Rivalry since 2012

Osasuna vs Celta Vigo Head to Head Results· 19

Osasuna and Celta Vigo have met 19 times — Osasuna won 7, Celta Vigo won 7, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. A combined 39 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.05 per match (17 for the home side, 22 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (37%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (37%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2024.

7
wins
Drawn
5
·
Total goals
39 · 2.1/match
Both scored
7/19 · 37%
Over 2.5
7/19 · 37%

Recent Meetings

06/02/26La Liga
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21/02/25La Liga
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01/09/24La Liga
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04/02/24La Liga
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13/08/23La Liga
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06/03/23La Liga
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05/11/22La Liga
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19/01/22La Liga
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23/08/21La Liga
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25/04/21La Liga
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Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Osasuna have recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Celta Vigo show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Osasuna

LLLLLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

4
wins
draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Celta Vigo.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

6 Feb 202625/261.95/3.30/4.10
Match Details
26 Oct 202525/262.39/3.20/3.22
Match Details
21 Feb 202524/251.69/3.79/5.21
Match Details
1 Sept 202424/252.47/3.29/3.00
Match Details
4 Feb 202423/242.34/3.15/3.25
Match Details
13 Aug 202323/242.07/3.13/3.76
Match Details
6 Mar 202322/232.78/3.06/2.79
Match Details
5 Nov 202222/232.13/3.30/3.69
Match Details
19 Jan 202221/221.87/3.41/4.49
Match Details
23 Aug 202121/222.66/3.19/2.81
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.8%Draw 31.3%Away 31.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.353.203.20
Max2.433.203.24
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Osasuna · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market39.9%30.3%29.9%
Public market40.5%29.7%29.7%

Osasuna vs Celta Vigo — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Celta Vigo
Result vs. Market: Osasuna (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

OsasunaHalf-time:21Celta Vigo
17Shots11
7Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Osasuna

W 266D 240L 366
Over 2.543
Goals scored939

Away Record: Celta Vigo

W 356D 280L 396
Over 2.548
Goals scored1321

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026