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Real Madrid vs Valencia

1 November 2025 at 20:00Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
40
Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer

Match Summary

Real Madrid defeated Valencia 4:0. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by K. Mbappe 19′ (pen.), K. Mbappe 31′, J. Bellingham 44′, A. Carreras 82′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Real Madrid had 65% possession while Valencia held 35%. Real Madrid had 21 shots (11 on target) compared to 4 (1 on target) for Valencia. Expected goals: Real Madrid 2.71 — Valencia 0.49. Real Madrid made 5 substitutions, Valencia made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (Éder Militão 17′).

Match Events

Key match events between Real Madrid and Valencia — 4 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Penalty confirmed17′
VAR
K. Mbappe

Penalty

19′
K. Mbappe

assist: A. Guler

31′
J. Bellingham

assist: F. Valverde

44′
Half Time
A. TchouameniE. Camavinga
46′
A. GulerD. Ceballos
46′
46′
L. BeltranA. Almeida
55′
D. LopezE. Comert
55′
T. CorreiaJ. Vazquez
55′
L. RiojaH. Duro
D. HuijsenR. Asencio
68′
K. MbappeEndrick
79′
79′
87′
PepeluJ. Guerra
Full Time

Match Statistics

Real Madrid had 65% possession against Valencia's 35%. Real Madrid registered 21 shots (11 on target) while Valencia managed 4 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 7–1. Fouls committed: 14–7.

Shots on Goal
11
1
Shots Off Goal
4
2
Total Shots
21
4
Blocked Shots
6
1
Shots inside the Box
12
3
Shots outside the Box
9
1
Fouls
14
7
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
2
0
Ball Possession
65%
35%
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
7
Total Passes
715
381
Accurate Passes
647
317
Pass Accuracy
90%
83%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.71
0.49
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.70
0.70

Rivalry since 2010

Real Madrid vs Valencia Head to Head Results· 32

Real Madrid and Valencia have met 32 times — Real Madrid won 18, Valencia won 6, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Real Madrid leads the head-to-head with 18 victories from 32 meetings. A combined 113 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.53 per match (72 for the home side, 41 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 23 matches (72%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 23 games (72%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–6 in 2011.

Drawn
8
·
Total goals
113 · 3.5/match
Both scored
23/32 · 72%
Over 2.5
23/32 · 72%

Recent Meetings

08/02/26La Liga
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05/04/25La Liga
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03/01/25La Liga
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02/03/24La Liga
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11/11/23La Liga
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21/05/23La Liga
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02/02/23La Liga
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08/01/22La Liga
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19/09/21La Liga
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14/02/21La Liga
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Highest-scoring game: 36 v 2011

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Real Madrid have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Valencia show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Real Madrid dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

8 Feb 202625/265.25/4.75/1.55
Match Details
1 Nov 202525/261.17/8.22/14.11
Match Details
5 Apr 202524/251.30/5.79/9.38
Match Details
3 Jan 202524/257.03/4.59/1.44
Match Details
2 Mar 202423/245.41/3.92/1.64
Match Details
11 Nov 202323/241.31/5.53/9.23
Match Details
21 May 202322/233.18/3.57/2.21
Match Details
2 Feb 202322/231.44/4.81/6.96
Match Details
8 Jan 202221/221.35/5.12/8.69
Match Details
19 Sept 202121/223.79/3.84/1.92
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 85.1%Draw 12.2%Away 7.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.178.0013.21
Max1.188.4415.00
Over 2.5: 73.5%Under 2.5: 31.3%
Market favourite:Real Madrid · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market81.4%11.4%7.3%
Public market81.7%11.9%6.4%

Real Madrid vs Valencia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Real Madrid
Result vs. Market: Real Madrid (85%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Real MadridHalf-time:30Valencia
21Shots4
11Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Real Madrid

W 805D 238L 217
Over 2.561
Goals scored2729

Away Record: Valencia

W 541D 328L 391
Over 2.550
Goals scored1843

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026