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Malaga vs Numancia

29 October 2018 at 20:00La Rosaleda, Malaga
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Malaga

20
Referee: Valentin Pizarro Gomez

Match Summary

Malaga defeated Numancia 2:0. The match was played in Segunda División 2018.

Rivalry since 2019

Malaga vs Numancia Head to Head Results· 3

Malaga and Numancia have met 3 times — Malaga won 1, Numancia won 0, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2019. Malaga leads the head-to-head with 1 victory from 3 meetings. A combined 5 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.67 per match (3 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Malaga are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2020.

1
wins
Drawn
2
·
Total goals
5 · 1.7/match
Both scored
2/3 · 67%
Over 2.5
1/3 · 33%

Recent Meetings

Match Details
Match Details
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 21 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Malaga have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Numancia show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Malaga

DWWWLL

Numancia

LLWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Malaga3wins
3draws6 meetings
Numancia0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.7

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Malaga.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 58.0%Draw 29.8%Away 18.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.703.305.00
Max1.743.405.84
Market favourite:Malaga · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market55.2%28.4%16.4%
Public market55.2%28.4%16.3%

Malaga vs Numancia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Malaga
Result vs. Market: Malaga (58%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MalagaHalf-time:10Numancia
9Shots8
6Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

9 Feb 202019/202.07/3.11/3.99
29 Nov 201919/202.30/3.11/3.32
18 Mar 201918/192.76/2.83/2.91
29 Oct 201818/191.72/3.36/5.53
23/05/9998/99
20/12/9898/99

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Malaga

W 154D 132L 131
Over 2.539
Goals scored485

Away Record: Numancia

W 283D 254L 261
Over 2.542
Goals scored972

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026