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Ponferradina vs Lugo

24 April 2021 at 19:30Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada
20
Away

Lugo

Referee: Juan Pulido

Match Summary

Ponferradina defeated Lugo 2:0. The match was played in Segunda División 2020.

Rivalry since 2019

Ponferradina vs Lugo Head to Head Results· 16

Ponferradina and Lugo have met 16 times — Ponferradina won 7, Lugo won 4, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2019. Ponferradina leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 16 meetings. A combined 26 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.63 per match (16 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (31%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (25%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2022.

Drawn
5
·
4
wins
Total goals
26 · 1.6/match
Both scored
5/16 · 31%
Over 2.5
4/16 · 25%

Recent Meetings

01/02/26Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Match Details
15/11/25Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Match Details
23/03/25Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Match Details
14/12/24Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Match Details
17/03/24Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Match Details
17/09/23Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Match Details
Match Details
Match Details
16/07/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Ponferradina have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Lugo show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Lugo

DWLWLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ponferradina5wins
2draws10 meetings
Lugo3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Ponferradina.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 50.2%Draw 31.9%Away 23.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.953.004.00
Max2.033.294.33
Over 2.5: 40.0%Under 2.5: 66.7%
Market favourite:Ponferradina · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market47.6%29.4%23.0%
Public market47.6%30.9%21.4%
Δ1.6%1.5%

Ponferradina vs Lugo — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ponferradina
Result vs. Market: Ponferradina (50%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PonferradinaHalf-time:10Lugo
16Shots5
6Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

2 Apr 202322/232.85/2.83/2.69
11 Dec 202222/232.23/3.25/3.33
17 Apr 202221/221.95/3.40/4.12
6 Nov 202121/222.44/2.99/3.21
24 Apr 202120/211.99/3.13/4.18
11 Dec 202020/212.79/2.84/3.02
8 Jul 202019/202.19/2.99/3.78
18 Sept 201919/202.43/3.08/3.13
12 Dec 201515/162.31/3.09/3.32
15/05/1615/162.15/3.13/3.62

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ponferradina

W 129D 132L 159
Over 2.542
Goals scored465

Away Record: Lugo

W 131D 157L 174
Over 2.539
Goals scored464

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026