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Eldense vs Malaga

11 May 2025 at 17:30Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda
10
Away

Malaga

Referee: Iosu Galech

Match Summary

Eldense defeated Malaga 1:0. The match was played in Segunda División 2024.

Rivalry since 2023

Eldense vs Malaga Head to Head Results· 2

Eldense and Malaga have met 2 times — Eldense won 0, Malaga won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2023. Malaga leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 4 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (0 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–0 in 2024.

0
wins
Drawn
0
·
2
wins
Total goals
4 · 2.0/match
Both scored
0/2 · 0%
Over 2.5
1/2 · 50%

Recent Meetings

Match Details
06/12/23Copa del Rey
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 30 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Eldense have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Malaga show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Eldense

LWDWLW

Malaga

DWWWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Eldense1wins
0draws2 meetings
Malaga1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

0%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (54%) — the odds may underestimate Eldense.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.5%Draw 26.9%Away 21.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.733.694.74
Max1.753.754.75
Over 2.5: 48.1%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Eldense · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market54.2%25.7%20.0%
Public market54.8%25.3%20.0%

Eldense vs Malaga — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Eldense
Result vs. Market: Eldense (57%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

EldenseHalf-time:00Malaga
17Shots5
5Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

11 May 202524/251.74/3.72/4.75
18 Dec 202424/252.26/3.02/3.43

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Eldense

W 23D 26L 35
Over 2.543
Goals scored90

Away Record: Malaga

W 154D 132L 131
Over 2.539
Goals scored485

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026