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Almeria vs Zaragoza

11 October 2025 at 17:30UD Almeria Stadium, Almeria
42
Referee: Luis Bestard Servera

Match Summary

Almeria defeated Zaragoza 4:2. The match was played in Segunda División 2025. Goals were scored by D. Chirino 49′, A. Embarba 51′, K. Kodro 78′, A. Puigmal 90′, M. Soberon 90′, D. Lopy 90′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Almeria had 58% possession while Zaragoza held 42%. Almeria had 22 shots (14 on target) compared to 14 (5 on target) for Zaragoza. Almeria made 5 substitutions, Zaragoza made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Almeria and Zaragoza — 6 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
A. MunozA. Centelles
46′
D. Chirino

assist: A. Embarba

49′
62′
M. A. CuencaP. Sans
62′
T. MoyaM. Soberon
64′
D. ChirinoM. Luna
70′
70′
D. TasendeValery
N. MelamedA. Puigmal
74′
78′
F. MoyanoH. Pinilla
A. Puigmal

assist: S. Arribas

90′
90′
M. Soberon

assist: Francho

D. Lopy

assist: I. Baba

90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Almeria had 58% possession against Zaragoza's 42%. Almeria registered 22 shots (14 on target) while Zaragoza managed 14 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 7–5. Fouls committed: 18–12.

Shots on Goal
14
5
Shots Off Goal
5
6
Total Shots
22
14
Blocked Shots
3
3
Shots inside the Box
15
10
Shots outside the Box
7
4
Fouls
18
12
Corner Kicks
7
5
Offsides
0
2
Ball Possession
58%
42%
Yellow Cards
2
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
9
Total Passes
522
375
Accurate Passes
448
315
Pass Accuracy
86%
84%
Expected Goals (xG)
0
0
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2010

Almeria vs Zaragoza Head to Head Results· 17

Almeria and Zaragoza have met 17 times — Almeria won 8, Zaragoza won 6, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Almeria leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 45 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.65 per match (26 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (59%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (59%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2025.

8
wins
Drawn
3
·
Total goals
45 · 2.6/match
Both scored
10/17 · 59%
Over 2.5
10/17 · 59%

Recent Meetings

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Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 41 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Almeria have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Zaragoza show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Almeria

LLDWWW

Zaragoza

DLLLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Almeria dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Almeria6wins
1draws10 meetings
Zaragoza3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (58%) — the odds may underestimate Almeria.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 61.7%Draw 25.0%Away 19.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.613.995.00
Max1.634.005.29
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 51.3%
Market favourite:Almeria · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market58.3%23.8%17.9%
Public market58.0%23.3%18.7%

Almeria vs Zaragoza — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Almeria
Result vs. Market: Almeria (62%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AlmeriaHalf-time:00Zaragoza
22Shots14
14Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Mar 202625/263.10/3.40/2.20
11 Oct 202525/261.62/4.00/5.14
15 Mar 202524/251.65/4.03/4.86
20 Oct 202424/252.23/3.41/3.19
4 Mar 202221/223.09/3.05/2.49
11 Dec 202121/221.72/3.63/5.10
11 Apr 202120/213.17/2.76/2.65
9 Dec 202020/211.87/3.09/4.96
20 Jun 202019/202.38/3.00/3.33
10 Nov 201919/202.02/3.21/4.00

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Almeria

W 282D 202L 223
Over 2.547
Goals scored955

Away Record: Zaragoza

W 268D 232L 245
Over 2.544
Goals scored930

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026