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FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld

14 April 2019 at 12:30Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg - St. Pauli
Referee: Sascha Stegemann

Match Summary

FC St. Pauli and Arminia Bielefeld drew 1:1. The match was played in 2. Bundesliga 2018.

Rivalry since 2013

FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld Head to Head Results· 13

FC St. Pauli and Arminia Bielefeld have met 13 times — FC St. Pauli won 5, Arminia Bielefeld won 3, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. FC St. Pauli leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 29 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.23 per match (14 for the home side, 15 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (46%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (46%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–0 in 2017.

Total goals
29 · 2.2/match
Both scored
6/13 · 46%
Over 2.5
6/13 · 46%

Recent Meetings

Highest-scoring game: 50 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, FC St. Pauli have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. Arminia Bielefeld show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate FC St. Pauli.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29 Apr 202322/231.77/3.85/4.37
Match Details
22 Oct 202222/233.07/3.52/2.25
Match Details
21 Dec 201919/203.26/3.38/2.20
Match Details
29 Jul 201919/202.23/3.39/3.18
Match Details
14 Apr 201918/192.22/3.42/3.21
Match Details
4 Nov 201818/192.57/3.21/2.83
Match Details
12 Jan 201717/182.60/3.20/2.82
5 Jun 201817/182.07/3.56/3.41
9 Oct 201616/172.32/3.24/3.14
19/02/1716/172.43/3.14/3.06

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.0%Draw 29.2%Away 31.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.303.10
Max2.263.503.34
Market favourite:FC St. Pauli · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.9%28.0%29.0%
Public market42.8%26.9%30.4%
Δ0.2%1.2%1.3%

FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: FC St. Pauli (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

FC St. PauliHalf-time:01Arminia Bielefeld
10Shots14
4Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: FC St. Pauli

W 313D 217L 256
Over 2.553
Goals scored1145

Away Record: Arminia Bielefeld

W 187D 147L 175
Over 2.553
Goals scored757

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026