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VfB Stuttgart vs FC St. Pauli

17 August 2019 at 12:00Mercedes-Benz-Arena, Stuttgart

Match Summary

VfB Stuttgart defeated FC St. Pauli 2:1. The match was played in 2. Bundesliga 2019.

Rivalry since 2010

VfB Stuttgart vs FC St. Pauli Head to Head Results· 10

VfB Stuttgart and FC St. Pauli have met 10 times — VfB Stuttgart won 7, FC St. Pauli won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. VfB Stuttgart leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 21 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.10 per match (15 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2026.

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
21 · 2.1/match
Both scored
4/10 · 40%
Over 2.5
4/10 · 40%

Recent Meetings

07/02/26Bundesliga
Match Details
19/09/25Bundesliga
Match Details
03/05/25Bundesliga
Match Details
21/12/24Bundesliga
Match Details
01/02/202. Bundesliga
Match Details
29/01/172. Bundesliga
Match Details
08/08/162. Bundesliga
Match Details
31/10/12DFB-Pokal
Match Details
13/03/11Bundesliga
Match Details
24/10/10Bundesliga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 21 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, VfB Stuttgart have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. FC St. Pauli show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

VfB Stuttgart dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
4 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (65%) — the odds may underestimate VfB Stuttgart.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 Feb 202019/203.79/3.59/1.96
Match Details
17 Aug 201919/201.47/4.25/7.12
Match Details
8 Aug 201616/171.75/3.65/4.75
29/01/1716/173.43/3.45/2.10

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 68.2%Draw 23.5%Away 14.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.454.006.50
Max1.484.558.00
Over 2.5: 62.5%Under 2.5: 43.5%
Market favourite:VfB Stuttgart · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market64.9%21.1%14.0%
Public market64.8%23.5%11.7%
Δ0.1%2.4%2.3%

VfB Stuttgart vs FC St. Pauli — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

VfB Stuttgart
Result vs. Market: VfB Stuttgart (68%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

VfB StuttgartHalf-time:01FC St. Pauli
17Shots15
5Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: VfB Stuttgart

W 38D 13L 17
Over 2.560
Goals scored125

Away Record: FC St. Pauli

W 313D 217L 256
Over 2.553
Goals scored1145

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026