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Hamburger SV vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

8 March 2025 at 19:30Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Match Summary

Hamburger SV defeated Fortuna Düsseldorf 4:1. The match was played in 2. Bundesliga 2024.

Rivalry since 2012

Hamburger SV vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head to Head Results· 11

Hamburger SV and Fortuna Düsseldorf have met 11 times — Hamburger SV won 5, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 2, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Hamburger SV leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 24 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.18 per match (14 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (45%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (36%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2023.

Total goals
24 · 2.2/match
Both scored
5/11 · 45%
Over 2.5
4/11 · 36%

Recent Meetings

20/04/13Bundesliga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Hamburger SV have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Fortuna Düsseldorf show 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 1 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
4
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (54%) — the odds may underestimate Hamburger SV.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

8 Mar 202524/251.75/4.03/4.19
Match Details
6 Oct 202424/252.41/3.56/2.71
Match Details
8 Mar 202423/242.40/3.70/2.72
Match Details
29 Sept 202323/242.05/4.05/3.19
Match Details
31 Mar 202322/232.45/3.68/2.68
Match Details
17 Sept 202222/231.97/3.72/3.59
Match Details
19 Mar 202221/222.84/3.48/2.43
Match Details
16 Oct 202121/221.84/3.73/4.12
Match Details
26 Jan 202120/212.98/3.26/2.41
Match Details
18 Sept 202020/212.25/3.59/3.00
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.3%Draw 24.8%Away 23.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.734.004.18
Max1.764.104.20
Over 2.5: 65.4%Under 2.5: 41.7%
Market favourite:Hamburger SV · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market54.0%23.2%22.8%
Public market54.2%23.4%22.3%

Hamburger SV vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Hamburger SV
Result vs. Market: Hamburger SV (57%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Hamburger SVHalf-time:21Fortuna Düsseldorf
18Shots9
9Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Hamburger SV

W 115D 66L 57
Over 2.562
Goals scored457

Away Record: Fortuna Düsseldorf

W 198D 125L 152
Over 2.553
Goals scored702

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026